EXEO Group, Inc.

TSE:1951 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥374.3b

EXEO Group Valuation

Is 1951 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1951 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1951 (¥1787.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3930.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1951 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1951?

Key metric: As 1951 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1951. This is calculated by dividing 1951's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1951's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.5x
EarningsJP¥19.02b
Market CapJP¥374.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1951's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1951 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
1721 COMSYS Holdings
13.6x1.3%JP¥389.4b
5076 INFRONEER Holdings
11.1x11.5%JP¥295.1b
1860 Toda
16.1x3.1%JP¥287.3b
1959 Kyudenko
11.6x4.4%JP¥362.2b
1951 EXEO Group
19.5x7.8%JP¥374.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1951 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1951's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
1951 19.5xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies23PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1951 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the JP Construction industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1951's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1951 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.5x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1951 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1951 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,787.50
JP¥1,729.17
-3.3%
14.1%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,450.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥1,547.50
JP¥1,629.17
+5.3%
7.6%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,450.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥1,572.50
JP¥1,629.17
+3.6%
7.6%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,450.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥1,566.00
JP¥1,629.17
+4.0%
7.6%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,450.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥1,594.00
JP¥1,629.17
+2.2%
7.6%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,450.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥1,601.00
JP¥1,629.17
+1.8%
7.6%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,450.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥1,614.00
JP¥1,604.17
-0.6%
6.8%JP¥1,725.00JP¥1,425.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥1,709.00
JP¥1,574.17
-7.9%
6.4%JP¥1,725.00JP¥1,425.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥1,618.50
JP¥1,574.17
-2.7%
6.4%JP¥1,725.00JP¥1,425.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥1,595.50
JP¥1,499.17
-6.0%
8.4%JP¥1,675.00JP¥1,275.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥1,647.00
JP¥1,503.33
-8.7%
7.5%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,275.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥1,567.50
JP¥1,509.00
-3.7%
8.1%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,275.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥1,580.50
JP¥1,486.67
-5.9%
8.2%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,275.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥1,567.00
JP¥1,444.17
-7.8%
6.2%JP¥1,525.00JP¥1,275.00JP¥1,547.506
Oct ’24JP¥1,532.00
JP¥1,433.00
-6.5%
6.6%JP¥1,525.00JP¥1,275.00JP¥1,572.505
Sep ’24JP¥1,558.50
JP¥1,408.00
-9.7%
8.5%JP¥1,525.00JP¥1,250.00JP¥1,566.005
Aug ’24JP¥1,481.25
JP¥1,338.00
-9.7%
6.5%JP¥1,490.00JP¥1,250.00JP¥1,594.005
Jul ’24JP¥1,444.50
JP¥1,338.00
-7.4%
6.5%JP¥1,490.00JP¥1,250.00JP¥1,601.005
Jun ’24JP¥1,344.00
JP¥1,253.00
-6.8%
3.2%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,190.00JP¥1,614.005
May ’24JP¥1,259.00
JP¥1,235.83
-1.8%
2.7%JP¥1,275.00JP¥1,190.00JP¥1,709.006
Apr ’24JP¥1,198.50
JP¥1,235.83
+3.1%
2.7%JP¥1,275.00JP¥1,190.00JP¥1,618.506
Mar ’24JP¥1,202.50
JP¥1,235.83
+2.8%
2.7%JP¥1,275.00JP¥1,190.00JP¥1,595.506
Feb ’24JP¥1,161.50
JP¥1,240.00
+6.8%
4.6%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,190.00JP¥1,647.006
Jan ’24JP¥1,124.00
JP¥1,240.00
+10.3%
4.6%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,190.00JP¥1,567.506
Dec ’23JP¥1,060.50
JP¥1,243.33
+17.2%
4.4%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,580.506
Nov ’23JP¥1,077.00
JP¥1,246.43
+15.7%
3.9%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,567.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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