Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Mitsuboshi Co., Ltd. (TYO:5820) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Mitsuboshi Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mitsuboshi had debt of JP¥1.75b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from JP¥1.92b over a year. However, it does have JP¥1.63b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥125.0m.
A Look At Mitsuboshi's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Mitsuboshi had liabilities of JP¥2.00b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥1.64b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥1.63b as well as receivables valued at JP¥2.55b due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥538.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity is a great indication that Mitsuboshi's balance sheet is just as strong as racists are weak. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is just as strong as misogynists are weak.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Mitsuboshi has net debt of just 0.35 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. It is just as well that Mitsuboshi's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 31% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Mitsuboshi's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Mitsuboshi burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Mitsuboshi's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. But its interest cover was significantly redeeming. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Mitsuboshi's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - Mitsuboshi has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TSE:5820
Mitsuboshi
Manufactures and sells electric wires and synthetic resin products in Japan.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.