Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy FIDEA Holdings Co. Ltd. (TSE:8713) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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TSE:8713

FIDEA Holdings Co. Ltd. (TSE:8713) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. In other words, investors can purchase FIDEA Holdings' shares before the 27th of September in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 4th of December.

The company's upcoming dividend is JP¥37.50 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of JP¥75.00 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, FIDEA Holdings stock has a trailing yield of around 5.1% on the current share price of JP¥1459.00. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for FIDEA Holdings

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Last year FIDEA Holdings paid out 100% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings.

When a company pays out a dividend that is not well covered by profits, the dividend is generally seen as more vulnerable to being cut.

Click here to see how much of its profit FIDEA Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

TSE:8713 Historic Dividend September 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see FIDEA Holdings's earnings per share have dropped 18% a year over the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past 10 years, FIDEA Holdings has increased its dividend at approximately 4.1% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. FIDEA Holdings is already paying out 100% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

Final Takeaway

Is FIDEA Holdings an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Not only are earnings per share shrinking, but FIDEA Holdings is paying out a disconcertingly high percentage of its profit as dividends. Generally we think dividend investors should avoid businesses in this situation, as high payout ratios and declining earnings can lead to the dividend being cut. These characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance, and investors may not be happy with the results of owning this stock for its dividend.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with FIDEA Holdings. We've identified 3 warning signs with FIDEA Holdings (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.