Shoei Co., Ltd.

TSE:7839 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥122.7b

Shoei Valuation

Is 7839 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7839 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7839 (¥2336) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4018.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7839 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7839?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

7839 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.8x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7839's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7839 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.5x
7296 F.C.C
8.4x-0.2%JP¥117.7b
7220 Musashi Seimitsu Industry
13.7x18.7%JP¥124.6b
3569 SeirenLtd
11.3x7.9%JP¥142.2b
7242 KYB
8.6x5.9%JP¥118.1b
7839 Shoei
17.5x8.0%JP¥122.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (10.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7839's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.0%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.0%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the JP Auto Components industry average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7839's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7839 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio8.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7839 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,336.00
JP¥2,360.00
+1.0%
1.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥2,257.00
JP¥2,360.00
+4.6%
1.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥2,331.00
JP¥2,360.00
+1.2%
1.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥2,221.00
JP¥2,260.00
+1.8%
8.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥1,983.00
JP¥2,260.00
+14.0%
8.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥2,026.00
JP¥2,260.00
+11.5%
8.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥2,044.00
JP¥2,233.33
+9.3%
7.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥2,230.00
JP¥2,233.33
+0.1%
7.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥2,096.00
JP¥2,233.33
+6.6%
7.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥1,950.00
JP¥2,633.33
+35.0%
15.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥1,840.00
JP¥2,633.33
+43.1%
15.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥1,976.00
JP¥2,950.00
+49.3%
13.2%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,400.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,056.00
JP¥3,016.67
+46.7%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,336.003
Oct ’24JP¥2,289.00
JP¥3,016.67
+31.8%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,257.003
Sep ’24JP¥2,464.00
JP¥3,016.67
+22.4%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,331.003
Aug ’24JP¥2,673.00
JP¥3,016.67
+12.9%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,221.003
Jul ’24JP¥2,658.00
JP¥2,883.33
+8.5%
9.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,983.003
Jun ’24JP¥2,558.00
JP¥2,883.33
+12.7%
9.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,026.003
May ’24JP¥2,513.00
JP¥2,883.33
+14.7%
9.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,044.003
Apr ’24JP¥2,774.00
JP¥3,150.00
+13.6%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,230.003
Mar ’24JP¥2,695.00
JP¥3,150.00
+16.9%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,096.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,560.00
JP¥3,150.00
+23.0%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥1,950.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,565.00
JP¥3,150.00
+22.8%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥1,840.003
Dec ’23JP¥2,785.00
JP¥2,983.33
+7.1%
2.1%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,976.003
Nov ’23JP¥2,730.00
JP¥3,050.00
+11.7%
4.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,056.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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