Shoei Co., Ltd.

TSE:7839 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥126.7b

Shoei Valuation

Is 7839 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7839 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7839 (¥2412) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4682.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7839 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7839?

Key metric: As 7839 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7839. This is calculated by dividing 7839's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7839's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.2x
EarningsJP¥7.38b
Market CapJP¥126.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7839's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7839 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
5975 Topre
6.8x8.1%JP¥101.8b
6486 Eagle IndustryLtd
15.2xn/aJP¥89.2b
7283 Aisan Industry
7.3x4.5%JP¥89.2b
7242 KYB
10.1x9.6%JP¥125.1b
7839 Shoei
17.2x10.5%JP¥126.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7839's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7839 17.2xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the JP Auto Components industry average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7839's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7839 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.2x
Fair PE Ratio8.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7839 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,412.00
JP¥2,693.33
+11.7%
18.6%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥2,336.00
JP¥2,360.00
+1.0%
1.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥2,257.00
JP¥2,360.00
+4.6%
1.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥2,331.00
JP¥2,360.00
+1.2%
1.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥2,221.00
JP¥2,260.00
+1.8%
8.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥1,983.00
JP¥2,260.00
+14.0%
8.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥2,026.00
JP¥2,260.00
+11.5%
8.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥2,044.00
JP¥2,233.33
+9.3%
7.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥2,230.00
JP¥2,233.33
+0.1%
7.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥2,096.00
JP¥2,233.33
+6.6%
7.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥1,950.00
JP¥2,633.33
+35.0%
15.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥1,840.00
JP¥2,633.33
+43.1%
15.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥1,976.00
JP¥2,950.00
+49.3%
13.2%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,400.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,056.00
JP¥3,016.67
+46.7%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,336.003
Oct ’24JP¥2,289.00
JP¥3,016.67
+31.8%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,257.003
Sep ’24JP¥2,464.00
JP¥3,016.67
+22.4%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,331.003
Aug ’24JP¥2,673.00
JP¥3,016.67
+12.9%
9.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,221.003
Jul ’24JP¥2,658.00
JP¥2,883.33
+8.5%
9.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,983.003
Jun ’24JP¥2,558.00
JP¥2,883.33
+12.7%
9.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,026.003
May ’24JP¥2,513.00
JP¥2,883.33
+14.7%
9.4%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,044.003
Apr ’24JP¥2,774.00
JP¥3,150.00
+13.6%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,230.003
Mar ’24JP¥2,695.00
JP¥3,150.00
+16.9%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,096.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,560.00
JP¥3,150.00
+23.0%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥1,950.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,565.00
JP¥3,150.00
+22.8%
2.6%JP¥3,250.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥1,840.003
Dec ’23JP¥2,785.00
JP¥2,983.33
+7.1%
2.1%JP¥3,050.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,976.003
Nov ’23JP¥2,730.00
JP¥3,050.00
+11.7%
4.8%JP¥3,250.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,056.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Toyota Boshoku

JP¥352.3b

Develops, manufactures, and sells automotive interior systems in Japan, the United States, China, and internationally.

3116

JP¥1,973.50

7D

-1.3%

1Y

-25.7%

Subaru

JP¥1.8t

Manufactures and sells automobiles and aerospace products in Japan, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally.

7270

JP¥2,450.50

7D

-0.9%

1Y

-9.4%

Press Kogyo

JP¥55.0b

Engages in the manufacture and sale of automotive and construction machinery parts in Japan and internationally.

7246

JP¥554.00

7D

2.2%

1Y

-10.6%