NOK Valuation

Is 7240 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7240 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7240 (¥2258.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3875.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7240 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7240?

Key metric: As 7240 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7240. This is calculated by dividing 7240's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7240's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsJP¥33.03b
Market CapJP¥372.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7240's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7240 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
5991 NHK Spring
8.2x1.6%JP¥381.1b
7988 Nifco
21.7x21.8%JP¥353.7b
6473 JTEKT
15.9x30.6%JP¥372.0b
6923 Stanley Electric
13.4x12.0%JP¥398.8b
11.3x5.1%JP¥372.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7240 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7240's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7240 11.3xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies14PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7240 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the JP Auto Components industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7240's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7240 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio8.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7240 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7240 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,258.50
JP¥2,468.00
+9.3%
6.1%JP¥2,740.00JP¥2,300.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥2,157.50
JP¥2,498.00
+15.8%
8.2%JP¥2,890.00JP¥2,300.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥2,268.50
JP¥2,458.00
+8.4%
9.7%JP¥2,890.00JP¥2,200.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥2,387.00
JP¥2,418.00
+1.3%
10.8%JP¥2,890.00JP¥2,200.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥2,125.00
JP¥2,306.00
+8.5%
4.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,200.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥2,157.00
JP¥2,221.67
+3.0%
4.3%JP¥2,330.00JP¥2,100.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥2,175.00
JP¥2,221.67
+2.1%
4.3%JP¥2,330.00JP¥2,100.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥2,280.00
JP¥2,155.00
-5.5%
3.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,080.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥2,047.50
JP¥2,155.00
+5.3%
3.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,080.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥2,112.50
JP¥2,155.00
+2.0%
5.2%JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,000.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥1,957.50
JP¥2,121.67
+8.4%
7.2%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,880.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥1,881.50
JP¥2,146.67
+14.1%
13.8%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,800.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥1,897.00
JP¥2,135.71
+12.6%
13.9%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,750.00n/a7
Nov ’24JP¥1,832.50
JP¥2,135.71
+16.5%
13.9%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,750.00JP¥2,157.507
Oct ’24JP¥1,985.50
JP¥2,150.00
+8.3%
14.2%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,750.00JP¥2,268.507
Sep ’24JP¥2,079.00
JP¥2,128.57
+2.4%
13.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,750.00JP¥2,387.007
Aug ’24JP¥2,151.50
JP¥2,005.71
-6.8%
21.3%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,240.00JP¥2,125.007
Jul ’24JP¥2,099.50
JP¥1,790.00
-14.7%
20.0%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,240.00JP¥2,157.006
Jun ’24JP¥1,855.00
JP¥1,756.67
-5.3%
18.3%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,240.00JP¥2,175.006
May ’24JP¥1,853.00
JP¥1,506.67
-18.7%
18.0%JP¥2,050.00JP¥1,240.00JP¥2,280.006
Apr ’24JP¥1,463.00
JP¥1,381.67
-5.6%
11.7%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥2,047.506
Mar ’24JP¥1,352.00
JP¥1,348.33
-0.3%
9.7%JP¥1,550.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥2,112.506
Feb ’24JP¥1,231.00
JP¥1,348.33
+9.5%
9.7%JP¥1,550.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,957.506
Jan ’24JP¥1,174.00
JP¥1,356.67
+15.6%
10.6%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,881.506
Dec ’23JP¥1,260.00
JP¥1,356.67
+7.7%
10.6%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,897.006
Nov ’23JP¥1,200.00
JP¥1,323.33
+10.3%
9.8%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,832.506

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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