Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy T.RAD Co., Ltd. (TSE:7236) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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TSE:7236

T.RAD Co., Ltd. (TSE:7236) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in three days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Accordingly, T.RAD investors that purchase the stock on or after the 27th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 2nd of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥90.00 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of JP¥180 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that T.RAD has a trailing yield of 4.8% on the current share price of JP¥3725.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether T.RAD's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for T.RAD

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Last year, T.RAD paid out 98% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Luckily it paid out just 13% of its free cash flow last year.

It's good to see that while T.RAD's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company continues paying out such a high percentage of its profits, the dividend could be at risk if business turns sour.

Click here to see how much of its profit T.RAD paid out over the last 12 months.

TSE:7236 Historic Dividend September 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. So we're not too excited that T.RAD's earnings are down 3.4% a year over the past five years.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, T.RAD has lifted its dividend by approximately 8.4% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. T.RAD is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

The Bottom Line

Should investors buy T.RAD for the upcoming dividend? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 98% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in T.RAD's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of T.RAD don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example, we've found 4 warning signs for T.RAD (1 is significant!) that deserve your attention before investing in the shares.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if T.RAD might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.