The board of Nikki Co., Ltd. (TSE:6042) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥80.00 per share on the 1st of July. This means that the annual payment will be 2.7% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Nikki
Nikki's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, Nikki's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 20.5% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 9.5% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥35.00 total annually to ¥80.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 8.6% per annum over that time. A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that Nikki has grown earnings per share at 21% per year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.
Our Thoughts On Nikki's Dividend
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nikki that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Nikki not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About TSE:6042
Nikki
Researches, designs, develops, and sells carburetors and fuel equipment in Japan and internationally.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.