Toyo Tire Corporation

TSE:5105 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥366.8b

Toyo Tire Valuation

Is 5105 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5105 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5105 (¥2401) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7285.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5105 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5105?

Key metric: As 5105 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5105. This is calculated by dividing 5105's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5105's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
EarningsJP¥70.70b
Market CapJP¥366.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5105's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5105 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.1x
5110 Sumitomo Rubber Industries
33.6x32.8%JP¥466.3b
5101 Yokohama Rubber Company
5.9x4.2%JP¥485.5b
5108 Bridgestone
11.8x11.3%JP¥3.7t
5121 FUJIKURA COMPOSITES
9.2xn/aJP¥30.0b
5105 Toyo Tire
5.2x-3.7%JP¥366.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5105 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5105's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
5105 5.2xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5105 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the JP Auto Components industry average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5105's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5105 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ratio7.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5105 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5105 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,401.00
JP¥2,513.00
+4.7%
13.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00n/a10
Nov ’25JP¥2,173.50
JP¥2,503.00
+15.2%
12.5%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00n/a10
Oct ’25JP¥2,119.00
JP¥2,555.00
+20.6%
12.3%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00n/a10
Sep ’25JP¥2,139.00
JP¥2,870.00
+34.2%
16.3%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,100.00n/a10
Aug ’25JP¥2,378.50
JP¥3,140.00
+32.0%
10.5%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,800.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥2,593.50
JP¥3,160.00
+21.8%
10.5%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,800.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥2,802.50
JP¥3,135.00
+11.9%
12.8%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥2,900.50
JP¥3,075.00
+6.0%
12.6%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥2,762.50
JP¥2,965.00
+7.3%
10.3%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥2,677.50
JP¥2,820.00
+5.3%
11.0%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥2,468.00
JP¥2,760.00
+11.8%
11.1%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥2,360.00
JP¥2,715.00
+15.0%
13.5%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,950.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥2,518.50
JP¥2,605.00
+3.4%
13.4%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,950.00n/a10
Nov ’24JP¥2,276.00
JP¥2,594.44
+14.0%
14.8%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥2,173.509
Oct ’24JP¥2,302.00
JP¥2,357.14
+2.4%
14.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,119.007
Sep ’24JP¥2,202.50
JP¥2,107.14
-4.3%
12.0%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥2,139.007
Aug ’24JP¥1,967.00
JP¥2,107.14
+7.1%
12.0%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥2,378.507
Jul ’24JP¥1,904.50
JP¥1,925.00
+1.1%
10.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,593.506
Jun ’24JP¥1,688.00
JP¥1,816.67
+7.6%
7.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,802.506
May ’24JP¥1,619.00
JP¥1,783.33
+10.2%
7.5%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,900.506
Apr ’24JP¥1,545.00
JP¥1,785.71
+15.6%
8.7%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,762.507
Mar ’24JP¥1,597.00
JP¥1,750.00
+9.6%
9.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,677.507
Feb ’24JP¥1,552.00
JP¥1,750.00
+12.8%
8.8%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,468.007
Jan ’24JP¥1,497.00
JP¥1,864.29
+24.5%
8.9%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,650.00JP¥2,360.007
Dec ’23JP¥1,553.00
JP¥1,921.43
+23.7%
10.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,650.00JP¥2,518.507
Nov ’23JP¥1,738.00
JP¥2,012.50
+15.8%
6.3%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥2,276.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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