The board of Snam S.p.A. (BIT:SRG) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 3.0% on the 25th of June to €0.1743, up from last year's comparable payment of €0.169. This will take the annual payment to 6.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
Snam's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last dividend made up quite a large portion of free cash flows, and this was made worse by the lack of free cash flows. We think that this practice can make the dividend quite risky in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 10.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 70%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
View our latest analysis for Snam
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was €0.25, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.291. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.5% a year over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings has been rising at 3.1% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. Slow growth and a high payout ratio could mean that Snam has maxed out the amount that it has been able to pay to shareholders. This isn't the end of the world, but for investors looking for strong dividend growth they may want to look elsewhere.
Snam's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Snam's payments are rock solid. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Snam that investors should take into consideration. Is Snam not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:SRG
Snam
Engages in the operation of natural gas transport and storage infrastructure.
Proven track record and fair value.