ACEA Valuation

Is ACE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACE (€16.16) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€12.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ACE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.1x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
IRE Iren
9.6x5.9%€2.4b
HER Hera
11.2x-0.6%€4.9b
A2A A2A
9x-6.3%€5.9b
IG Italgas
9.6x3.6%€4.2b
ACE ACEA
11.7x3.6%€3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.18
€17.60
+8.8%
7.5%€19.00€15.50n/a4
Apr ’25€16.42
€16.60
+1.1%
11.1%€19.10€14.30n/a4
Mar ’25€13.75
€14.13
+2.7%
11.1%€16.60€12.60n/a4
Feb ’25€14.30
€14.13
-1.2%
11.1%€16.60€12.60n/a4
Jan ’25€13.83
€13.80
-0.2%
10.3%€15.80€12.60n/a3
Dec ’24€12.44
€13.60
+9.3%
9.4%€15.80€12.60n/a4
Nov ’24€11.59
€14.37
+24.0%
13.2%€17.00€12.60n/a3
Oct ’24€10.31
€14.37
+39.3%
13.2%€17.00€12.60n/a3
Sep ’24€10.95
€14.37
+31.2%
13.2%€17.00€12.60n/a3
Aug ’24€11.01
€14.37
+30.5%
13.2%€17.00€12.60n/a3
Jul ’24€11.98
€18.33
+53.0%
16.4%€22.50€15.50n/a3
Jun ’24€13.62
€18.33
+34.6%
16.4%€22.50€15.50n/a3
May ’24€13.30
€18.28
+37.4%
14.3%€22.50€15.50€16.284
Apr ’24€12.60
€18.28
+45.0%
14.3%€22.50€15.50€16.424
Mar ’24€13.75
€19.18
+39.5%
13.7%€22.50€15.50€13.754
Feb ’24€14.10
€19.18
+36.0%
13.7%€22.50€15.50€14.304
Jan ’24€12.92
€19.18
+48.4%
13.7%€22.50€15.50€13.834
Dec ’23€13.20
€19.18
+45.3%
13.7%€22.50€15.50€12.444
Nov ’23€12.80
€20.10
+57.0%
10.9%€22.50€17.20€11.593
Oct ’23€11.14
€20.10
+80.4%
10.9%€22.50€17.20€10.313
Sep ’23€11.83
€20.10
+69.9%
10.9%€22.50€17.20€10.953
Aug ’23€13.75
€20.10
+46.2%
10.9%€22.50€17.20€11.013
Jul ’23€14.42
€20.63
+43.0%
10.2%€22.50€17.20€11.984
Jun ’23€16.60
€21.08
+27.0%
6.6%€22.50€19.00€13.624
May ’23€16.37
€21.08
+28.7%
6.6%€22.50€19.00€13.304

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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