Atmos Energy Corporation

BIT:1ATO Stock Report

Market Cap: €22.6b

Atmos Energy Valuation

Is 1ATO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 1ATO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1ATO (€144.05) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (€105.39)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1ATO is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1ATO?

Key metric: As 1ATO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1ATO. This is calculated by dividing 1ATO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1ATO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.3x
EarningsUS$1.20b
Market CapUS$26.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1ATO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1ATO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
SRG Snam
14.1x2.87%€19.1b
IG Italgas
15.7x8.84%€10.0b
ASC Ascopiave
8.5x-28.86%€732.6m
AC5 Acinque
19.2xn/a€446.0m
1ATO Atmos Energy
22.3x11.21%€26.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1ATO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1ATO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Gas Utilities Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1ATO 22.3xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1ATO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the Global Gas Utilities industry average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1ATO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1ATO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.3x
Fair PE Ratio22.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1ATO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1ATO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€144.05
€151.89
+5.44%
5.28%€165.11€139.45n/a11
Jan ’27€143.65
€149.05
+3.76%
5.50%€163.70€138.26n/a11
Dec ’26€153.80
€150.98
-1.83%
6.27%€166.25€136.96n/a11
Nov ’26€147.85
€148.42
+0.39%
7.82%€163.09€122.32n/a11
Oct ’26€144.80
€140.31
-3.10%
6.69%€155.52€120.48n/a10
Sep ’26€141.75
€140.54
-0.85%
6.59%€156.83€121.50n/a10
Aug ’26€135.05
€143.95
+6.59%
7.16%€159.30€123.42n/a11
Jul ’26€131.75
€140.11
+6.35%
7.22%€157.81€119.45n/a12
Jun ’26€136.00
€142.57
+4.83%
7.17%€160.33€121.35n/a12
May ’26€140.15
€139.23
-0.66%
6.07%€152.34€121.34n/a12
Apr ’26n/a
€141.25
0%
5.90%€152.51€126.63n/a12
Mar ’26n/a
€144.65
0%
5.45%€157.72€130.96n/a12
Feb ’26n/a
€143.07
0%
6.24%€159.18€129.45n/a12
Jan ’26n/a
€140.48
0%
9.47%€158.71€110.62€143.6511
Dec ’25n/a
€137.67
0%
9.60%€156.17€108.85€153.8010
Nov ’25n/a
€131.77
0%
8.89%€144.50€106.52€147.8510
Oct ’25n/a
€124.89
0%
5.65%€132.98€111.41€144.808
Sep ’25n/a
€119.09
0%
6.18%€129.56€110.79€141.757
Aug ’25n/a
€119.15
0%
4.45%€127.18€109.67€135.057
Jul ’25n/a
€118.21
0%
4.86%€129.06€111.29€131.758
Jun ’25n/a
€116.72
0%
4.54%€127.06€109.56€136.008
May ’25n/a
€114.83
0%
4.44%€124.39€105.69€140.158
Apr ’25n/a
€112.50
0%
4.75%€122.51€104.08n/a9
Mar ’25n/a
€111.84
0%
4.92%€122.91€104.42n/a9
Feb ’25n/a
€110.90
0%
4.99%€122.21€103.84n/a9
Jan ’25n/a
€109.26
0%
5.64%€120.40€98.68n/a9
€154.68
Fair Value
6.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/25 03:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/23 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Atmos Energy Corporation is covered by 21 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
Richard GrossBarclays
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays