Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Spindox S.p.A.'s (BIT:SPN) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher

BIT:SPN
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Spindox S.p.A. (BIT:SPN) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 4.0% over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Spindox may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.9x, since almost half of all companies in Italy have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 8x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Spindox certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Spindox

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BIT:SPN Price Based on Past Earnings September 26th 2022
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Spindox will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Spindox's Growth Trending?

Spindox's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 286% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 36% per annum during the coming three years according to the twin analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 18% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Spindox is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Spindox's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Spindox's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Spindox has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.