Riot Platforms Valuation

Is 1RIOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1RIOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1RIOT's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1RIOT's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1RIOT?

Key metric: As 1RIOT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1RIOT. This is calculated by dividing 1RIOT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1RIOT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6.5x
SalesUS$458.75m
Market CapUS$3.00b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1RIOT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1RIOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.8x
TXT TXT e-solutions
1.4x12.6%€420.7m
SYS SYS-DAT
3.6x15.4%€208.4m
AIW Almawave
1.8x16.5%€87.5m
EXAI Expert.ai
4.4x15.2%€130.0m
1RIOT Riot Platforms
6.5x20.3%€3.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1RIOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (2.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1RIOT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

44 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1RIOT 6.5xIndustry Avg. 2.2xNo. of Companies44PS0246810+
44 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1RIOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.5x) compared to the European Software industry average (2.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1RIOT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1RIOT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1RIOT's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1RIOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.61
€13.68
+79.9%
20.6%€19.46€7.96n/a15
Apr ’26n/a
€15.73
0%
21.5%€21.32€8.34n/a15
Mar ’26n/a
€17.11
0%
17.2%€22.11€12.98n/a15
Feb ’26n/a
€17.61
0%
19.1%€24.01€12.48n/a15
Jan ’26n/a
€17.07
0%
21.5%€23.84€10.49n/a15
Dec ’25n/a
€16.05
0%
24.3%€23.05€9.12n/a14
Nov ’25n/a
€14.92
0%
29.5%€22.07€7.56n/a14
Oct ’25n/a
€14.95
0%
27.9%€19.87€7.43n/a14
Sep ’25n/a
€15.34
0%
25.2%€20.55€8.49n/a13
Aug ’25n/a
€16.18
0%
22.3%€21.31€10.19n/a13
Jul ’25n/a
€16.53
0%
20.8%€21.37€11.15n/a12
Jun ’25n/a
€16.44
0%
17.2%€20.28€11.98n/a12
May ’25n/a
€18.20
0%
19.2%€24.32€12.63€6.3512
Apr ’25n/a
€18.27
0%
20.4%€24.21€10.24n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
€18.10
0%
21.5%€23.99€10.15n/a11
Feb ’25n/a
€17.19
0%
24.0%€23.87€10.10n/a11
Jan ’25n/a
€16.64
0%
21.6%€20.90€10.22n/a11
Dec ’24n/a
€14.89
0%
23.9%€20.23€7.36n/a11
Nov ’24n/a
€16.30
0%
23.4%€21.63€7.10n/a11
Oct ’24n/a
€18.63
0%
11.5%€21.50€14.96n/a9
Sep ’24n/a
€18.41
0%
9.8%€21.01€16.44n/a9
Aug ’24n/a
€14.88
0%
26.5%€21.56€10.78n/a8
Jul ’24n/a
€11.80
0%
9.9%€14.60€10.95n/a8
Jun ’24n/a
€11.08
0%
20.5%€14.71€5.52n/a9
May ’24n/a
€10.71
0%
25.0%€15.50€5.47n/a9
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
€14.02
Fair Value
45.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/04 02:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Riot Platforms, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Martin TonerATB Capital Markets
Nicholas GilesB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Gregory LewisBTIG