Confluent, Inc.

BIT:1CFLT Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.2b

Confluent Valuation

Is 1CFLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 1CFLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1CFLT (€25.74) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (€22.6)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1CFLT is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1CFLT?

Key metric: As 1CFLT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1CFLT. This is calculated by dividing 1CFLT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1CFLT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio9.8x
SalesUS$1.11b
Market CapUS$10.90b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1CFLT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1CFLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
TXT TXT e-solutions
0.9x10.60%€329.5m
SYS SYS-DAT
2.1x9.59%€168.9m
EXAI Expert.ai
5.5x18.08%€186.3m
DOX Doxee
1.6x9.23%€50.1m
1CFLT Confluent
9.8x13.28%€10.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1CFLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1CFLT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the IT Software Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GROW Growens
0.5x3.61%US$43.36m
S3D Solid World Group
0.2x9.85%US$16.60m
No more companies available in this PS range
1CFLT 9.8xIndustry Avg. 2.3xNo. of Companies4PS0246810+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1CFLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.8x) compared to the European Software industry average (2.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1CFLT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1CFLT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio9.8x
Fair PS Ratio15.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1CFLT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1CFLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.74
€26.14
+1.54%
1.45%€26.23€24.53n/a19
Feb ’27€25.72
€26.09
+1.42%
3.76%€26.38€22.13n/a20
Jan ’27€25.63
€26.32
+2.70%
5.18%€30.66€22.14n/a21
Dec ’26€19.33
€24.18
+25.07%
9.06%€31.23€20.82n/a31
Nov ’26€20.19
€24.10
+19.38%
9.06%€31.13€20.75n/a31
Oct ’26€16.99
€20.95
+23.27%
13.58%€30.66€17.04n/a31
Sep ’26€16.82
€21.10
+25.50%
13.62%€30.78€17.10n/a31
Aug ’26€14.46
€21.60
+49.34%
13.51%€31.09€17.27n/a31
Jul ’26€20.56
€24.12
+17.33%
11.69%€30.56€18.68n/a31
Jun ’26€20.04
€25.16
+25.55%
13.49%€35.13€19.43n/a32
May ’26€20.67
€25.65
+24.10%
14.14%€35.23€19.49n/a31
Apr ’26n/a
€34.73
0%
9.18%€38.82€27.73n/a31
Mar ’26n/a
€36.11
0%
8.20%€40.05€28.61n/a31
Feb ’26n/a
€31.82
0%
12.45%€38.59€24.12€25.7231
Jan ’26n/a
€31.00
0%
12.17%€38.11€23.82€25.6331
Dec ’25n/a
€30.22
0%
11.77%€38.11€23.82€19.3331
Nov ’25n/a
€29.09
0%
11.78%€36.91€23.07€20.1931
Oct ’25n/a
€26.53
0%
14.39%€35.83€20.60€16.9930
Sep ’25n/a
€27.32
0%
13.07%€36.08€21.65€16.8229
Aug ’25n/a
€28.51
0%
12.26%€37.07€23.17€14.4629
Jul ’25n/a
€32.86
0%
10.60%€39.10€26.07€20.5631
Jun ’25n/a
€32.48
0%
10.78%€38.64€25.76€20.0430
May ’25n/a
€31.97
0%
12.48%€39.53€25.41€20.6729
Apr ’25n/a
€31.50
0%
12.60%€38.87€24.99n/a29
Mar ’25n/a
€30.88
0%
14.96%€38.85€17.82n/a29
Feb ’25n/a
€24.25
0%
16.62%€36.93€17.79n/a28
€26
Fair Value
1.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/10 16:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/10 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Confluent, Inc. is covered by 45 analysts. 28 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Adam ShepherdArete Research Services LLP
William PowerBaird
Raimo LenschowBarclays