NXP Semiconductors N.V.

BIT:1NXPI Stock Report

Market Cap: €47.5b

NXP Semiconductors Valuation

Is 1NXPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1NXPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€235.96
Fair Value
33.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
31
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1NXPI (€157.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€235.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1NXPI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1NXPI?

Key metric: As 1NXPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1NXPI. This is calculated by dividing 1NXPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1NXPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.3x
EarningsUS$2.51b
Market CapUS$51.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1NXPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1NXPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.7x
IFX Infineon Technologies
30.9x22.7%€43.2b
TPRO Technoprobe
39.5x26.6%€3.7b
981 Semiconductor Manufacturing International
86.1x20.7%HK$475.7b
2454 MediaTek
22.2x9.8%NT$2.4t
1NXPI NXP Semiconductors
20.3x10.1%€51.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1NXPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the peer average (44.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1NXPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1NXPI 20.3xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1NXPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1NXPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1NXPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.3x
Fair PE Ratio42.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1NXPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1NXPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€157.50
€233.19
+48.1%
10.0%€275.74€187.72n/a31
Mar ’26€210.00
€245.36
+16.8%
10.0%€290.34€197.66n/a31
Feb ’26€206.00
€251.99
+22.3%
10.7%€302.49€192.06n/a32
Jan ’26€202.00
€255.70
+26.6%
10.3%€303.94€192.98n/a31
Dec ’25€219.00
€255.51
+16.7%
10.2%€302.49€192.06n/a31
Nov ’25€221.00
€265.10
+20.0%
10.8%€341.70€203.17n/a29
Oct ’25€209.00
€261.56
+25.1%
11.2%€331.04€196.83n/a28
Sep ’25€229.00
€266.50
+16.4%
11.4%€337.14€200.46n/a29
Aug ’25€234.00
€270.42
+15.6%
11.3%€341.10€202.82n/a29
Jul ’25€245.00
€262.91
+7.3%
13.8%€344.58€139.70n/a30
Jun ’25€245.00
€258.57
+5.5%
13.5%€342.25€138.75n/a30
May ’25€239.00
€255.91
+7.1%
12.9%€346.06€140.30n/a29
Apr ’25€228.60
€224.41
-1.8%
11.4%€274.68€137.34n/a29
Mar ’25€235.20
€225.12
-4.3%
10.8%€276.84€138.42€210.0029
Feb ’25€193.70
€215.33
+11.2%
10.6%€242.88€138.00€206.0028
Jan ’25€206.60
€203.29
-1.6%
11.6%€252.98€135.53€202.0027
Dec ’24€189.00
€207.92
+10.0%
11.0%€243.83€140.67€219.0028
Nov ’24€161.20
€218.63
+35.6%
8.5%€246.04€175.07€221.0028
Oct ’24€189.40
€218.89
+15.6%
8.2%€243.88€173.53€209.0028
Sep ’24€192.70
€215.44
+11.8%
8.0%€239.12€170.14€229.0028
Aug ’24€203.20
€213.09
+4.9%
8.2%€236.73€168.44€234.0027
Jul ’24€187.20
€182.92
-2.3%
11.3%€229.05€151.17€245.0026
Jun ’24€166.70
€180.73
+8.4%
11.1%€226.83€149.70€245.0026
May ’24€146.20
€181.69
+24.3%
11.2%€219.94€146.62€239.0026
Apr ’24€168.50
€183.37
+8.8%
10.6%€222.31€148.21€228.6027
Mar ’24€167.00
€183.37
+9.8%
10.6%€222.31€148.21€235.2027
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 31 Analysts
€200.01
Fair Value
21.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
31
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/21 17:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NXP Semiconductors N.V. is covered by 54 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
George ChangAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Brett SimpsonArete Research Services LLP
James FontanelliArete Research Services LLP