NVIDIA Valuation

Is 1NVDA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1NVDA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1NVDA (€861.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€485.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1NVDA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1NVDA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1NVDA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue37.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA65.5x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1NVDA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1NVDA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.1x
2330 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
25.3x16.3%NT$21.7t
AVGO Broadcom
55.8x22.4%US$646.6b
QCOM QUALCOMM
25.6x8.9%US$216.3b
ADI Analog Devices
37.7x11.3%US$106.2b
1NVDA NVIDIA
76.4x23.7%€2.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1NVDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.4x) compared to the peer average (36.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1NVDA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1NVDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.4x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1NVDA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1NVDA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio76.4x
Fair PE Ratio79.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1NVDA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1NVDA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€861.30
€944.76
+9.7%
14.4%€1,287.58€570.21n/a49
May ’25€815.20
€935.91
+14.8%
14.2%€1,311.52€580.82n/a51
Apr ’25€838.50
€897.41
+7.0%
15.7%€1,303.40€566.42n/a51
Mar ’25€755.70
€812.42
+7.5%
18.0%€1,291.92€195.33n/a51
Feb ’25€571.40
€612.22
+7.1%
19.9%€1,010.79€194.50n/a49
Jan ’25€442.20
€600.08
+35.7%
19.0%€1,005.84€193.55n/a49
Dec ’24€431.55
€596.59
+38.2%
19.4%€1,005.07€193.40n/a50
Nov ’24€396.25
€605.37
+52.8%
19.7%€1,041.92€200.49n/a49
Oct ’24€414.30
€599.12
+44.6%
20.0%€1,031.80€198.55n/a49
Sep ’24€448.80
€580.39
+29.3%
21.4%€1,013.87€195.10n/a49
Aug ’24€425.05
€444.04
+4.5%
17.0%€691.37€190.80n/a47
Jul ’24€387.55
€423.24
+9.2%
16.9%€653.27€194.76n/a45
Jun ’24€365.60
€402.56
+10.1%
21.1%€561.42€192.75n/a45
May ’24€247.65
€256.95
+3.8%
14.7%€324.04€173.43€815.2044
Apr ’24€252.50
€252.22
-0.1%
15.0%€320.92€160.46€838.5044
Mar ’24€211.70
€235.41
+11.2%
16.6%€328.27€103.17€755.7041
Feb ’24€184.12
€189.29
+2.8%
20.0%€294.50€101.23€571.4041
Jan ’24€134.94
€190.87
+41.4%
19.9%€301.70€103.71€442.2042
Dec ’23€161.60
€193.38
+19.7%
20.6%€304.00€104.50€431.5541
Nov ’23€139.28
€199.70
+43.4%
24.4%€321.12€110.39€396.2541
Oct ’23€128.38
€210.04
+63.6%
22.8%€326.50€112.23€414.3042
Sep ’23€133.98
€213.65
+59.5%
21.3%€321.73€110.59€448.8040
Aug ’23€181.28
€230.91
+27.4%
23.4%€391.24€127.15€425.0538
Jul ’23€140.74
€241.41
+71.5%
23.3%€392.62€124.49€387.5539
Jun ’23€174.24
€237.77
+36.5%
22.7%€382.04€121.13€365.6040
May ’23€183.76
€303.95
+65.4%
17.4%€382.65€149.33€247.6540

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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