Intel Valuation

Is 1INTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1INTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1INTC (€22.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€137.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1INTC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1INTC?

Key metric: As 1INTC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1INTC. This is calculated by dividing 1INTC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1INTC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.9x
SalesUS$54.25b
Market CapUS$105.02b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1INTC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1INTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
MU Micron Technology
4.3x17.8%US$106.8b
A000660 SK hynix
2.4x22.6%₩118.2t
ARM Arm Holdings
38.3x18.2%US$135.3b
ADI Analog Devices
10.7x8.4%US$102.5b
1INTC Intel
2x5.1%€105.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1INTC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1INTC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1INTC 1.9xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies7PS012345+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1INTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1INTC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1INTC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ratio2.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1INTC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1INTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€21.14
€22.59
+6.9%
11.7%€28.61€18.46n/a34
Oct ’25€20.55
€23.35
+13.7%
25.8%€49.69€15.36n/a35
Sep ’25€19.82
€24.73
+24.7%
32.2%€49.27€15.23n/a36
Aug ’25€27.76
€35.61
+28.3%
24.1%€62.67€15.67n/a39
Jul ’25€28.77
€36.88
+28.2%
25.8%€62.61€15.65n/a39
Jun ’25€27.82
€36.88
+32.6%
25.8%€62.61€15.65n/a39
May ’25€29.07
€38.89
+33.8%
23.6%€63.70€15.93n/a41
Apr ’25€41.06
€43.69
+6.4%
20.4%€63.31€15.83n/a40
Mar ’25€40.49
€42.60
+5.2%
20.6%€62.70€15.67n/a39
Feb ’25€39.35
€42.14
+7.1%
21.7%€62.56€15.64n/a38
Jan ’25€45.18
€36.24
-19.8%
20.6%€61.58€15.40n/a40
Dec ’24€39.99
€34.86
-12.8%
16.8%€51.17€15.53n/a40
Nov ’24€35.20
€35.68
+1.4%
16.0%€52.99€16.09€21.1440
Oct ’24€33.67
€32.99
-2.0%
15.5%€43.62€15.45€20.5540
Sep ’24€33.48
€32.99
-1.5%
15.5%€43.62€15.45€19.8240
Aug ’24€32.48
€32.53
+0.2%
15.7%€43.65€15.46€27.7639
Jul ’24€30.59
€29.38
-4.0%
15.2%€41.07€15.52€28.7736
Jun ’24€29.25
€29.28
+0.1%
15.1%€41.85€15.81€27.8234
May ’24€28.20
€28.50
+1.1%
15.4%€40.84€15.43€29.0734
Apr ’24€30.06
€26.16
-13.0%
18.4%€41.26€15.59€41.0634
Mar ’24€23.67
€26.48
+11.9%
18.7%€42.66€16.11€40.4933
Feb ’24€25.92
€26.75
+3.2%
29.1%€61.86€15.67€39.3533
Jan ’24€24.44
€29.65
+21.4%
29.1%€63.84€19.03€45.1833
Dec ’23€28.38
€31.79
+12.0%
34.6%€69.88€19.41€39.9935
Nov ’23€28.79
€33.33
+15.8%
36.6%€72.26€18.06€35.2032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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