Ambarella, Inc.

BIT:1AMBA Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.7b

Ambarella Valuation

Is 1AMBA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1AMBA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€55.37
Fair Value
11.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1AMBA (€61.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€55.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1AMBA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1AMBA?

Key metric: As 1AMBA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1AMBA. This is calculated by dividing 1AMBA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1AMBA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.5x
SalesUS$373.85m
Market CapUS$3.17b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1AMBA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1AMBA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.5x
TPRO Technoprobe
13.3x13.12%€8.4b
600363 Jiangxi Lian Chuang Optoelectronic Science And TechnologylTd
7.5x23.24%CN¥24.2b
SIMO Silicon Motion Technology
3.8x15.73%US$3.0b
301536 SigmaStar Technology
9.2xn/aCN¥25.0b
1AMBA Ambarella
8.5x12.02%€3.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1AMBA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (8.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1AMBA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1AMBA 8.5xIndustry Avg. 2.6xNo. of Companies11PS0246810+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1AMBA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.5x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (2.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1AMBA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1AMBA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.5x
Fair PS Ratio7.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1AMBA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1AMBA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€61.70
€84.61
+37.14%
9.43%€99.20€69.01n/a11
Nov ’26€73.84
€80.76
+9.37%
11.64%€90.47€56.00n/a11
Oct ’26€71.02
€77.23
+8.74%
17.83%€90.05€42.54n/a12
Sep ’26€72.88
€76.98
+5.63%
17.83%€89.76€42.40n/a12
Aug ’26€54.78
€66.17
+20.79%
17.82%€80.88€42.23n/a12
Jul ’26€53.96
€65.33
+21.06%
18.06%€81.16€42.37n/a12
Jun ’26€46.09
€67.35
+46.13%
18.06%€83.68€43.69n/a12
May ’26€41.09
€70.39
+71.31%
22.97%€97.13€43.80n/a12
Apr ’26n/a
€90.01
0%
10.46%€105.74€72.10n/a11
Mar ’26n/a
€90.01
0%
10.46%€105.74€72.10n/a11
Feb ’26n/a
€87.30
0%
10.70%€96.03€67.22n/a11
Jan ’26n/a
€85.21
0%
10.50%€95.16€66.61n/a11
Dec ’25n/a
€83.46
0%
13.08%€94.65€61.52€61.7011
Nov ’25n/a
€68.54
0%
13.72%€82.75€52.41€73.8411
Oct ’25n/a
€68.23
0%
13.30%€80.53€51.00€71.0212
Sep ’25n/a
€68.52
0%
12.80%€80.97€51.28€72.8813
Aug ’25n/a
€68.06
0%
15.02%€83.21€46.23€54.7813
Jul ’25n/a
€66.63
0%
16.16%€82.96€46.09€53.9614
Jun ’25n/a
€66.63
0%
16.16%€82.96€46.09€46.0914
May ’25n/a
€67.83
0%
14.97%€84.08€46.71€41.0915
Apr ’25n/a
€68.72
0%
11.38%€83.05€57.21n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
€68.72
0%
11.38%€83.05€57.21n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
€66.18
0%
13.26%€82.36€53.08n/a16
Jan ’25n/a
€67.44
0%
13.38%€82.44€53.13n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
€69.12
0%
16.47%€96.55€53.33n/a17
€81.59
Fair Value
24.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/01 13:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/01 00:00
Earnings2025/10/31
Annual Earnings2025/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ambarella, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexi UngerArete Research Services LLP
Tayla-Blair BothaArete Research Services LLP
David WilliamsAscendiant Capital Markets LLC