Stock Analysis

Is IVS Group S.A. (BIT:IVS) Potentially Undervalued?

BIT:IVS
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While IVS Group S.A. (BIT:IVS) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the BIT over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at IVS Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for IVS Group

Is IVS Group still cheap?

IVS Group appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that IVS Group’s ratio of 52.44x is above its peer average of 36.18x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Online Retail industry. Furthermore, IVS Group’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach levels around its industry peers, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

What kind of growth will IVS Group generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:IVS Earnings and Revenue Growth December 21st 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. In the upcoming year, IVS Group's earnings are expected to increase by 84%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? IVS’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe IVS should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on IVS for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for IVS, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about IVS Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for IVS Group (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be familiar with.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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