Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A.

BIT:MN Stock Report

Market Cap: €545.1m

Arnoldo Mondadori Editore Valuation

Is MN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MN (€2.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MN?

Key metric: As MN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MN. This is calculated by dividing MN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.8x
Earnings€55.39m
Market Cap€545.08m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
RCS RCS MediaGroup
6xn/a€369.9m
CAI Cairo Communication
7x0.2%€311.2m
CED Caltagirone Editore
9.4xn/a€147.4m
S24 Il Sole 24 ORE
7.4xn/a€41.0m
MN Arnoldo Mondadori Editore
9.8x9.9%€545.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MN 9.8xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies17PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.10
€3.19
+52.3%
4.0%€3.35€3.00n/a5
Nov ’25€2.44
€3.21
+31.8%
3.7%€3.35€3.00n/a5
Oct ’25€2.42
€3.21
+32.9%
3.7%€3.35€3.00n/a5
Sep ’25€2.63
€3.17
+20.8%
6.1%€3.35€2.80n/a5
Aug ’25€2.54
€3.17
+24.8%
6.1%€3.35€2.80n/a5
Jul ’25€2.45
€3.17
+29.7%
6.1%€3.35€2.80n/a5
Jun ’25€2.35
€3.07
+30.6%
7.3%€3.30€2.80n/a5
May ’25€2.25
€3.07
+36.7%
7.3%€3.30€2.80n/a5
Apr ’25€2.33
€3.07
+31.8%
7.3%€3.30€2.80n/a5
Mar ’25€2.14
€2.83
+32.3%
8.8%€3.20€2.50n/a4
Feb ’25€2.37
€2.89
+21.9%
10.1%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Jan ’25€2.15
€2.89
+34.7%
10.1%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Dec ’24€2.09
€2.89
+38.6%
10.1%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Nov ’24€2.07
€2.89
+40.0%
10.1%€3.25€2.50€2.445
Oct ’24€2.14
€2.91
+36.0%
9.6%€3.25€2.50€2.425
Sep ’24€2.16
€2.91
+35.0%
9.6%€3.25€2.50€2.635
Aug ’24€2.14
€2.91
+36.0%
9.1%€3.25€2.60€2.545
Jul ’24€2.01
€2.77
+38.2%
9.1%€3.20€2.50€2.455
Jun ’24€1.85
€2.77
+49.9%
9.1%€3.20€2.50€2.355
May ’24€1.98
€2.77
+39.6%
9.1%€3.20€2.50€2.255
Apr ’24€1.95
€2.77
+41.8%
9.1%€3.20€2.50€2.335
Mar ’24€1.83
€2.72
+48.6%
10.8%€3.20€2.40€2.145
Feb ’24€1.94
€2.72
+40.5%
10.8%€3.20€2.40€2.375
Jan ’24€1.81
€2.72
+50.4%
10.8%€3.20€2.40€2.155
Dec ’23€1.83
€2.76
+50.7%
9.9%€3.20€2.40€2.095
Nov ’23€1.71
€2.70
+57.7%
9.9%€3.20€2.40€2.075

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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