Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A.

BIT:MN Stock Report

Market Cap: €588.0m

Arnoldo Mondadori Editore Valuation

Is MN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MN (€2.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7x
RCS RCS MediaGroup
7.3xn/a€418.0m
CAI Cairo Communication
7.6x-1.9%€291.0m
CED Caltagirone Editore
7.5xn/a€121.2m
S24 Il Sole 24 ORE
5.7xn/a€44.0m
MN Arnoldo Mondadori Editore
9.4x4.7%€588.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the peer average (7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the European Media industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.4x
Fair PE Ratio8.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.26
€3.07
+35.8%
7.3%€3.30€2.80n/a5
Apr ’25€2.33
€3.07
+31.8%
7.3%€3.30€2.80n/a5
Mar ’25€2.14
€2.83
+32.3%
8.8%€3.20€2.50n/a4
Feb ’25€2.37
€2.89
+21.9%
10.1%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Jan ’25€2.15
€2.89
+34.7%
10.1%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Dec ’24€2.09
€2.89
+38.6%
10.1%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Nov ’24€2.07
€2.89
+40.0%
10.1%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Oct ’24€2.14
€2.91
+36.0%
9.6%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Sep ’24€2.16
€2.91
+35.0%
9.6%€3.25€2.50n/a5
Aug ’24€2.14
€2.91
+36.0%
9.1%€3.25€2.60n/a5
Jul ’24€2.01
€2.77
+38.2%
9.1%€3.20€2.50n/a5
Jun ’24€1.85
€2.77
+49.9%
9.1%€3.20€2.50n/a5
May ’24€1.98
€2.77
+39.6%
9.1%€3.20€2.50n/a5
Apr ’24€1.95
€2.77
+41.8%
9.1%€3.20€2.50€2.335
Mar ’24€1.83
€2.72
+48.6%
10.8%€3.20€2.40€2.145
Feb ’24€1.94
€2.72
+40.5%
10.8%€3.20€2.40€2.375
Jan ’24€1.81
€2.72
+50.4%
10.8%€3.20€2.40€2.155
Dec ’23€1.83
€2.76
+50.7%
9.9%€3.20€2.40€2.095
Nov ’23€1.71
€2.70
+57.7%
9.9%€3.20€2.40€2.075
Oct ’23€1.53
€2.78
+81.5%
8.0%€3.20€2.60€2.145
Sep ’23€1.65
€2.83
+71.4%
8.1%€3.20€2.60€2.164
Aug ’23€1.75
€2.93
+66.8%
6.6%€3.20€2.70€2.144
Jul ’23€1.69
€2.93
+72.9%
6.6%€3.20€2.70€2.014
Jun ’23€1.81
€2.90
+60.4%
7.7%€3.20€2.60€1.854
May ’23€1.95
€3.00
+53.8%
4.7%€3.20€2.80€1.984
Apr ’23€2.01
€3.00
+49.3%
4.7%€3.20€2.80€1.954

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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