Stock Analysis

We Think Buzzi Unicem (BIT:BZU) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

BIT:BZU
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital. It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Buzzi Unicem S.p.A. (BIT:BZU) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Buzzi Unicem

How Much Debt Does Buzzi Unicem Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Buzzi Unicem had €1.32b of debt in June 2019, down from €1.59b, one year before. On the flip side, it has €634.3m in cash leading to net debt of about €681.3m.

BIT:BZU Historical Debt, December 2nd 2019
BIT:BZU Historical Debt, December 2nd 2019

How Healthy Is Buzzi Unicem's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Buzzi Unicem had liabilities of €805.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.88b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €634.3m in cash and €591.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.46b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Buzzi Unicem has a market capitalization of €4.27b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Buzzi Unicem has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 13.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Buzzi Unicem has been able to increase its EBIT by 21% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Buzzi Unicem can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Buzzi Unicem's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that Buzzi Unicem's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. All these things considered, it appears that Buzzi Unicem can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Buzzi Unicem's earnings per share history for free.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.