LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

BIT:1LYB Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.0b

LyondellBasell Industries Valuation

Is 1LYB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1LYB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€81.17
Fair Value
55.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1LYB (€36.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€81.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1LYB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1LYB?

Key metric: As 1LYB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1LYB. This is calculated by dividing 1LYB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1LYB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUS$37.78b
Market CapUS$13.85b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1LYB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1LYB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
SERI Seri Industrial
0.5x22.07%€140.4m
BZU Buzzi
2.1x3.62%€9.2b
SOL SOL
2.6x7.32%€4.4b
DOW Dow
0.4x1.87%US$15.8b
1LYB LyondellBasell Industries
0.4x-7.19%€13.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1LYB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1LYB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1LYB 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies27PS00.81.62.43.24+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1LYB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1LYB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1LYB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1LYB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1LYB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€36.48
€47.63
+30.56%
21.25%€77.94€34.64n/a18
Nov ’26€39.74
€49.11
+23.58%
20.64%€78.08€32.97n/a18
Oct ’26€41.21
€50.56
+22.70%
17.66%€76.70€37.50n/a18
Sep ’26€46.38
€52.76
+13.76%
20.27%€76.80€37.55n/a18
Aug ’26€47.94
€57.81
+20.59%
21.51%€90.68€40.59n/a18
Jul ’26€51.36
€58.84
+14.57%
22.87%€89.06€42.41n/a19
Jun ’26€50.56
€61.06
+20.76%
21.88%€92.48€44.04n/a20
May ’26€51.14
€61.07
+19.42%
21.42%€92.61€44.10n/a21
Apr ’26n/a
€78.70
0%
12.01%€106.59€66.74n/a21
Mar ’26n/a
€83.11
0%
12.64%€110.88€71.35n/a21
Feb ’26n/a
€85.59
0%
11.79%€110.94€72.35n/a21
Jan ’26n/a
€90.53
0%
10.82%€110.92€78.12n/a21
Dec ’25n/a
€96.14
0%
8.35%€112.77€81.09n/a21
Nov ’25n/a
€96.82
0%
7.36%€109.08€82.13€39.7422
Oct ’25n/a
€94.96
0%
6.68%€106.19€81.89€41.2122
Sep ’25n/a
€97.07
0%
6.83%€108.99€83.35€46.3822
Aug ’25n/a
€98.63
0%
6.97%€110.45€85.60€47.9422
Jul ’25n/a
€99.82
0%
6.70%€111.43€86.36€51.3622
Jun ’25n/a
€99.82
0%
6.70%€111.43€86.36€50.5622
May ’25n/a
€100.19
0%
6.90%€112.42€87.12€51.1423
Apr ’25n/a
€96.10
0%
7.64%€109.86€84.72n/a22
Mar ’25n/a
€94.79
0%
7.14%€109.17€84.19n/a22
Feb ’25n/a
€94.79
0%
6.13%€108.55€85.55n/a21
Jan ’25n/a
€94.09
0%
6.34%€108.09€85.19n/a21
Dec ’24n/a
€93.80
0%
7.11%€107.42€84.66n/a21
Nov ’24n/a
€97.65
0%
7.52%€111.66€86.11n/a21
€46.64
Fair Value
21.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/10 17:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/10 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is covered by 45 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Scott DavisBarclays
Michael LeitheadBarclays