Aegon Valuation

Is 1AGN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1AGN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1AGN (€4.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1AGN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1AGN?

Key metric: As 1AGN is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for 1AGN. This is calculated by dividing 1AGN's market cap by their current book value.
What is 1AGN's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.8x
Book€10.09b
Market Cap€8.31b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does 1AGN's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for 1AGN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
PST Poste Italiane
1.4x4.0%€17.0b
UNI Unipol Gruppo
1x6.5%€8.3b
G Assicurazioni Generali
1.5x8.2%€41.7b
2883 KGI Financial Holding
1.1x-0.5%NT$320.9b
1AGN Aegon
0.8x37.9%€8.3b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: 1AGN is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does 1AGN's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1AGN 0.8xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies12PB00.81.62.43.24+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: 1AGN is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (1.4x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1AGN's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1AGN PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.8x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1AGN's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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