Intercos Valuation

Is ICOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ICOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ICOS (€13.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€10.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ICOS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ICOS?

Key metric: As ICOS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ICOS. This is calculated by dividing ICOS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ICOS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.9x
Earnings€45.13m
Market Cap€1.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ICOS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ICOS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.3x
PHN Pharmanutra
32.6x18.5%€530.4m
ENV Enervit
16.2x26.3%€60.3m
KIP Kolinpharma
46.5xn/a€15.9m
ERFO Laboratorio Farmaceutico Erfo
17.8x17.6%€7.9m
ICOS Intercos
28.9x22.6%€1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ICOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ICOS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Personal Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ICOS 28.9xIndustry Avg. 22.3xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ICOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the European Personal Products industry average (22.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ICOS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ICOS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.9x
Fair PE Ratio33.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ICOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ICOS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.54
€17.83
+31.7%
7.0%€20.00€16.50n/a6
Nov ’25€14.64
€18.63
+27.3%
4.1%€20.00€17.50n/a6
Oct ’25€15.78
€18.72
+18.6%
4.1%€20.00€17.50n/a6
Sep ’25€16.06
€18.68
+16.3%
4.2%€20.00€17.50n/a6
Aug ’25€16.18
€18.35
+13.4%
5.3%€20.00€17.00n/a6
Jul ’25€15.68
€18.18
+16.0%
5.2%€20.00€17.00n/a6
Jun ’25€16.00
€18.18
+13.6%
5.2%€20.00€17.00n/a6
May ’25€13.14
€17.60
+33.9%
8.6%€20.00€15.50n/a6
Apr ’25€13.42
€17.68
+31.8%
8.1%€20.00€15.50n/a6
Mar ’25€14.00
€17.54
+25.3%
8.2%€20.00€15.50n/a6
Feb ’25€14.20
€17.36
+22.2%
8.0%€20.00€15.50n/a6
Jan ’25€14.30
€17.11
+19.6%
9.1%€20.00€15.50n/a6
Dec ’24€13.94
€17.11
+22.7%
9.1%€20.00€15.50n/a6
Nov ’24€13.24
€17.18
+29.7%
9.5%€20.00€15.50€14.646
Oct ’24€12.84
€17.44
+35.8%
8.4%€20.00€15.50€15.786
Sep ’24€13.46
€17.78
+32.1%
7.4%€20.00€15.50€16.066
Aug ’24€16.10
€17.93
+11.3%
7.3%€20.00€15.50€16.186
Jul ’24€15.40
€17.93
+16.4%
7.3%€20.00€15.50€15.686
Jun ’24€15.64
€17.93
+14.6%
7.3%€20.00€15.50€16.006
May ’24€16.44
€16.17
-1.7%
5.6%€17.50€14.50€13.146
Apr ’24€13.31
€15.45
+16.1%
6.7%€16.50€14.00€13.426
Mar ’24€13.86
€14.75
+6.4%
8.2%€16.50€13.00€14.006
Feb ’24€13.60
€14.75
+8.5%
8.2%€16.50€13.00€14.206
Jan ’24€12.70
€14.23
+12.1%
11.1%€16.50€12.00€14.306
Dec ’23€12.52
€13.88
+10.9%
10.8%€16.50€12.00€13.945
Nov ’23€10.05
€14.14
+40.7%
9.3%€16.50€12.70€13.245

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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