Stock Analysis

We Think DiaSorin (BIT:DIA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

BIT:DIA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, DiaSorin S.p.A. (BIT:DIA) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for DiaSorin

What Is DiaSorin's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that DiaSorin had €749.0m of debt in March 2024, down from €1.22b, one year before. However, it does have €378.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €370.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:DIA Debt to Equity History July 16th 2024

How Strong Is DiaSorin's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DiaSorin had liabilities of €320.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.02b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €378.8m in cash and €228.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €735.7m.

Of course, DiaSorin has a market capitalization of €5.29b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

DiaSorin's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 20.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for DiaSorin if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 30% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine DiaSorin's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, DiaSorin recorded free cash flow worth 74% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, DiaSorin's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its EBIT growth rate has the opposite effect. It's also worth noting that DiaSorin is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that DiaSorin can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of DiaSorin's earnings per share history for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.