Stock Analysis

Earnings Miss: Amplifon S.p.A. Missed EPS By 5.9% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

BIT:AMP
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Amplifon S.p.A. (BIT:AMP) came out with its full-year results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. Revenues of €2.3b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at €0.69, missing estimates by 5.9%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Amplifon

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:AMP Earnings and Revenue Growth March 24th 2024

After the latest results, the 13 analysts covering Amplifon are now predicting revenues of €2.45b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a decent 8.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 31% to €0.90. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €2.45b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.90 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of €34.71, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Amplifon at €40.10 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €29.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 8.6% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 9.7% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 5.6% per year. So it's pretty clear that Amplifon is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €34.71, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Amplifon. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Amplifon going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Amplifon has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.