The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Newlat Food S.p.A. (BIT:NWL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Newlat Food
What Is Newlat Food's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Newlat Food had €157.9m of debt, up from €34.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €182.1m in cash, so it actually has €24.2m net cash.
How Healthy Is Newlat Food's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Newlat Food had liabilities of €246.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €136.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €182.1m as well as receivables valued at €85.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €114.8m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Newlat Food has a market capitalization of €263.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Newlat Food also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Newlat Food has boosted its EBIT by 66%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Newlat Food can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Newlat Food may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Newlat Food actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing up
Although Newlat Food's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €24.2m. The cherry on top was that in converted 196% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €54m. So we don't think Newlat Food's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Newlat Food is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About BIT:NWL
Newlat Food
Operates in the agri-food sector in Italy, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Undervalued with proven track record.