Poste Italiane S.p.A.

BIT:PST Stock Report

Market Cap: €36.1b

Poste Italiane Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Poste Italiane is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.3% and 0.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 3.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.5% in 3 years.

Key information

4.3%

Earnings growth rate

3.44%

EPS growth rate

Diversified Financial earnings growth8.8%
Revenue growth rate0.8%
Future return on equity18.54%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated10 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 10

PST: Higher Margin Assumptions And P/E Repricing Will Support Further Upside

Poste Italiane's analyst price target shifts higher to €30.10 from €28.60, with analysts pointing to a slightly lower discount rate, a small uplift in expected profit margins, and modestly adjusted assumptions on revenue growth and future P/E as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the higher €30.10 price target as a reflection of refined assumptions on margins, revenue, and future P/E rather than a radical change in the fundamental story.
Narrative Update • May 27

PST: Execution Risks Around Revenue And Margins Will Restrain Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Poste Italiane slightly to €17.79 from €17.89, citing recent price target increases to around €24 to €24.50 as support for a modestly lower discount rate and a small adjustment to expected revenue and margin trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports show price targets clustering around €24 to €24.50, with ratings such as Equal Weight and Neutral.
Narrative Update • May 02

PST: Higher Earnings Quality Will Support Upside As P/E Repricing Takes Hold

Poste Italiane's analyst fair value estimate has been lifted from €26.50 to €28.80, as analysts point to a higher price target range from recent research and updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a cluster of higher price targets for Poste Italiane, with figures such as €24.50, €25.10 and other upward adjustments feeding into the updated fair value estimate.
Narrative Update • Apr 18

PST: Higher Revenue Assumptions And Dividend Policy Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

Poste Italiane's updated analyst price target has shifted from €22.84 to €23.45, with analysts broadly citing refreshed targets from banks including €24.50, €25.10 and €21.50 as support for the new fair value view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are clustering new price targets in a higher €21.50 to €25.10 range, which signals greater conviction in the current valuation framework for Poste Italiane.
Narrative Update • Apr 03

PST: Higher Earnings Quality Will Support Future Upside As P/E Assumptions Hold

Analysts have nudged up their targets on Poste Italiane toward the mid €20s, with recent price objectives reaching up to about €25. These changes reflect updated views on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Mar 20

PST: Interest Income And Dividend Policy Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Poste Italiane higher to €22.84 from €22.08, reflecting a series of recent price target increases across the Street and updated assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Poste Italiane has centered on a series of higher price targets, with several firms adjusting their models for growth, profitability and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update • Mar 06

PST: Higher Earnings Quality Will Support Future Upside As P/E Framework Holds

Our updated fair value estimate for Poste Italiane edges up from €26.18 to €26.50. This reflects analysts' higher price targets in the €21.50 to €25.10 range and their supporting views around revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Feb 20

PST: Higher Earnings Quality And Index Inclusions Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Poste Italiane from about €24.50 to roughly €26.18, citing recent price target increases from several major houses and updated assumptions around the discount rate, profit margin and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a cluster of higher price targets for Poste Italiane, which aligns with the updated fair value estimate of about €26.18.
Narrative Update • Feb 05

PST: Interest Income And Dividend Policy Will Underpin Fairly Valued Shares

Our analyst fair value estimate for Poste Italiane has moved higher by about €0.90 to €22.08, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates and earnings multiples, alongside a series of recent price target increases from analysts at several global banks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are assigning price targets in the low to mid €20s, which broadly lines up with our updated fair value estimate of €22.08 and supports a view that the current valuation can be underpinned by existing earnings power.
Analysis Article • Jan 27

Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s (BIT:PST) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Earnings

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.1x Poste Italiane S.p.A. ( BIT:PST ) may be sending bullish signals at...
Narrative Update • Jan 22

PST: Interest Income And Payout Uncertainty Will Restrain Future Upside

Narrative update The analyst fair value estimate for Poste Italiane has shifted from €15.05 to €17.89, reflecting updated assumptions around slower expected revenue contraction, slightly higher profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. This is in line with recent analyst price targets around €23 and commentary that the current valuation is viewed as fair but could improve with stronger interest income, solvency and payout metrics.
Narrative Update • Jan 08

PST: Fairly Valued Outlook Hinges On Interest Income And Payout Trends

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Poste Italiane to €24.50 from €21.00, reflecting updated views on interest rate sensitivity, solvency and payout potential, and aligning with a series of recent price target adjustments across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Poste Italiane points to a cluster of price targets in the low to mid €20s, with several bullish analysts lifting their expectations over the past months.
Narrative Update • Dec 14

PST: Market Will Focus On Interest Income And Dividend Payout Stability

Analysts have nudged their consolidated price target for Poste Italiane slightly higher to about EUR 23, reflecting broadly supportive views on valuation and earnings quality despite only modest tweaks to growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research continues to frame Poste Italiane as a relatively resilient income and rate sensitive name, with most targets clustering just above EUR 21 and moving toward the EUR 23 level.
Narrative Update • Nov 29

PST: Market Will Weigh Interest Income And Payout Prospects Into 2025

Poste Italiane's fair value estimate has been revised upward by analysts to EUR 21.21 from EUR 20.95. This change reflects increased confidence in the company's growth prospects as well as updated research price targets.
Narrative Update • Nov 15

PST: Market Will Weigh Profit Guidance And Risk Shift Into 2025

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Poste Italiane to €20.95, up from €20.12. This change reflects updated expectations for the company's growth, risk profile, and profitability metrics.
Narrative Update • Oct 31

PST: Core Business Momentum And Execution Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Poste Italiane's analyst price target has increased by approximately EUR 0.30 to EUR 20.12. Analysts cite a mix of raised and trimmed targets, supporting a stable outlook for the company.
Analysis Article • Oct 21

Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s (BIT:PST) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s ( BIT:PST ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.2x might make it look like a buy right now...
Narrative Update • Oct 17

E-commerce And Digital Payments Will Secure A Robust Market Future

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Poste Italiane. They now expect shares to reach approximately EUR 21.50, reflecting slightly higher confidence in the company's stability and future growth potential.
Narrative Update • Oct 03

E-commerce And Digital Payments Will Secure A Robust Market Future

The analyst price target for Poste Italiane has risen modestly from €19.56 to €19.83, as analysts highlight improved revenue growth and slightly higher profit margin forecasts despite recent rating downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent Street Research on Poste Italiane has provided a mixed view, with both bullish and bearish analysts highlighting factors that could influence the company’s stock performance and valuation.
Narrative Update • Sep 10

E-commerce And Digital Payments Will Secure A Robust Market Future

Analysts modestly raised Poste Italiane's price target to €19.56, citing resilient operations, strong profitability in logistics and insurance, and stable shareholder returns, though sentiment is mixed due to capped upside potential. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite continued operational resilience and robust fundamentals as key drivers for modest upward price target revisions.
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New Narrative • Nov 08

Dynamic E-commerce Growth And Decisive Cost Management Drive Future Success

Strong growth in parcel revenues and Postepay Services, driven by e-commerce, enhances future revenue and market share for Poste Italiane.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BIT:PST - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202814,3502,7592,678N/A9
12/31/202713,9082,6062,6193,54013
12/31/202613,6532,5222,6413,40211
3/31/202614,3182,4331,7442,981N/A
12/31/202514,0262,2141,5252,703N/A
9/30/202513,8672,1662,1033,258N/A
6/30/202513,7502,1352,4783,552N/A
3/31/202513,6382,0891,6772,738N/A
12/31/202413,4831,9941,9362,901N/A
9/30/202413,2511,9881,7562,678N/A
6/30/202413,0011,8022,4063,271N/A
3/31/202412,7781,8812,8833,698N/A
12/31/202312,6191,9225681,414N/A
9/30/202312,3201,6587531,546N/A
6/30/202312,1041,7321,3582,194N/A
3/31/202311,8211,625-365480N/A
12/31/202211,5741,578-630180N/A
9/30/202215,8671,8428901,598N/A
6/30/202220,2371,789244913N/A
3/31/202225,2841,6231,0711,786N/A
12/31/202131,7101,5783,4304,184N/A
9/30/202133,0501,4811,0081,772N/A
6/30/202133,5921,43341819N/A
3/31/202131,6131,348105803N/A
12/31/202030,0191,2071,2381,917N/A
9/30/202028,8131,1572,4233,137N/A
6/30/202028,2681,1252,8883,600N/A
3/31/202030,2671,2093,8714,636N/A
12/31/201932,7601,342N/A1,120N/A
9/30/201932,6991,426N/A2,063N/A
6/30/201932,4881,427N/A1,264N/A
3/31/201931,2201,353N/A-206N/A
12/31/201829,7171,399N/A2,597N/A
9/30/201829,4161,021N/A-1,384N/A
6/30/201830,706914N/A-338N/A
3/31/201832,555823N/A275N/A
12/31/201733,391689N/A-709N/A
9/30/201733,696539N/A3,768N/A
6/30/201733,504567N/A3,030N/A
3/31/201732,808606N/A2,160N/A
12/31/201633,012622N/A2,258N/A
9/30/201632,345737N/A2,212N/A
6/30/201632,262682N/A2,483N/A
3/31/201631,876608N/A3,067N/A
12/31/201530,659552N/A2,563N/A
9/30/201529,791501N/A-470N/A
6/30/201529,420425N/A-298N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PST's forecast earnings growth (4.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.3%).

Earnings vs Market: PST's earnings (4.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Italian market (11.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PST's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: PST's revenue (0.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Italian market (6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PST's revenue (0.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PST's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/23 08:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/23 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Poste Italiane S.p.A. is covered by 22 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Enrico EspostiBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Gianmarco BonacinaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Paola SabbioneBarclays