Nexi Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Nexi's revenue is forecast to decline at 12.3% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 92.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 94.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.6% in 3 years.
Key information
92.5%
Earnings growth rate
94.15%
EPS growth rate
| Diversified Financial earnings growth | 9.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | -12.3% |
| Future return on equity | 9.59% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 19 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 04
NEXI: Softer Long Term Outlook Will Weigh On Execution And Sentiment
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Nexi by about €0.15. This reflects updated views on slower growth, modestly higher margins, and a slightly lower forward P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Apr 20
NEXI: Softer Long Term Outlook Will Pressure Margins And Sentiment
The updated analyst work trims Nexi's fair value estimate from about €4.14 to €2.60. This reflects a series of recent price target cuts and rating downgrades as analysts factor in softer margins and a less upbeat medium term outlook.
Narrative Update • Apr 06
NEXI: Future Upside Will Rely On Capital Returns And Reset Expectations
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Nexi by around €1 to €2, reflecting updated fair value estimates of €3.81, a lower assumed discount rate of 13.34%, more moderate profit margin expectations at 14.75% and revised revenue growth assumptions following a series of target cuts and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Nexi point to a tighter spread of price targets and a more cautious stance on growth, profitability and execution.
Narrative Update • Feb 22
NEXI: Index Removals And Hold Stance Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have lowered their average price target on Nexi to €7.54 from €8.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E expectations following recent Hold and Underweight views. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Nexi continue to cluster around more cautious ratings such as Hold and Underweight, but there are still some constructive signals that matter if you are weighing the risk and reward.Narrative Update • Feb 07
NEXI: Index Removals And Refined Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their overall price targets on Nexi by EUR 0.20 to around €3.85, citing a slightly higher discount rate, modestly weaker revenue growth expectations, and only small adjustments to profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Nexi show that targets are being recalibrated, with price objectives now clustering around €3.85.Narrative Update • Jan 24
NEXI: Index Removals And Reset Expectations Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Nexi, with one recent move taking the figure down to €3.85 from €4.75. This change reflects updated views on the company’s risk profile, earnings outlook and valuation assumptions.Narrative Update • Jan 10
NEXI: Future Upside Will Depend On Index Removals Resetting Expectations
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Nexi to about €3.85 from €4.75, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue expectations and forward P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on Nexi, with the trimmed price target to about €3.85 from €4.75 reflecting reassessments around valuation and expected execution.Narrative Update • Dec 26
NEXI: Future Upside Will Depend On Execution Amid Neutral Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Nexi to EUR 5.65 from about EUR 5.90, reflecting slightly lower fair value estimates driven by modestly weaker growth and profitability assumptions, as well as a marginally reduced earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Analysts describe the latest price target revision as a fine-tuning rather than a fundamental reset, with views balanced between Nexi's structural strengths and execution and macro risks that could cap upside in the near term.Narrative Update • Dec 11
NEXI: Future Upside Will Depend On Margin Expansion Execution
Analysts have slightly trimmed their price target on Nexi from EUR 5.90 to EUR 5.65. This reflects modestly weaker revenue growth and margin expectations that are only partly offset by a lower discount rate and a higher anticipated future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Nov 27
NEXI: Future Performance Will Hinge On Margin Expansion And Market Share Defense
Analysts have lowered their price target for Nexi from €5.90 to €5.65, citing slight changes in key financial metrics and maintaining a neutral outlook on the stock. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided a nuanced outlook for Nexi following the latest price target adjustment.Narrative Update • Nov 13
NEXI: Future Margin And Market Share Will Drive Share Performance
Analysts have lowered their price target for Nexi from €6.47 to €5.84. They cite slightly reduced fair value estimates as well as tempered expectations for both profit margins and future earnings multiples.Narrative Update • Oct 29
Digital Payments Momentum Will Drive Broader Transformation Across Europe
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Nexi downward, reducing it by €0.25 to €5.65 per share. This change is based on updated projections for lower fair value and slightly weaker revenue growth expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 15
Digital Payments Will Transform Italy And Central Europe
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Nexi, lowering it from €6.90 to approximately €6.74. They cite slightly softer projections for revenue growth, despite stable profit margins.Analysis Article • Sep 07
Little Excitement Around Nexi S.p.A.'s (BIT:NEXI) Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Diversified Financial industry in Italy have price-to-sales...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Digital Payments Will Transform Italy And Central Europe
With analyst reasoning unavailable, Nexi’s valuation metrics—including future P/E and net profit margin—remained stable, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of €6.90. What's in the News Nexi confirmed 2025 earnings guidance, expecting low-to-mid single-digit year-over-year net revenue growth, impacted by banks' merchant book M&A and contract renegotiations.Analysis Article • Apr 23
We Think Shareholders Are Less Likely To Approve A Pay Rise For Nexi S.p.A.'s (BIT:NEXI) CEO For Now
Key Insights Nexi's Annual General Meeting to take place on 30th of April CEO Paolo Bertoluzzo's total compensation...Analysis Article • Apr 06
Nexi S.p.A.'s (BIT:NEXI) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business
Nexi S.p.A.'s ( BIT:NEXI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to...
New Narrative • Dec 01
Merchant Services Transformation Drives Growth Amidst Competitive Challenges
Structural growth in digital payments and efficiency initiatives are expected to boost revenue, EBITDA margins, and cash generation.Analysis Article • Nov 16
There's Reason For Concern Over Nexi S.p.A.'s (BIT:NEXI) Price
It's not a stretch to say that Nexi S.p.A.'s ( BIT:NEXI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite...Analysis Article • Nov 02
Nexi (BIT:NEXI) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Oct 11
Is There An Opportunity With Nexi S.p.A.'s (BIT:NEXI) 45% Undervaluation?
Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Nexi S.p.A. ( BIT:NEXI ) by taking the expected...Analysis Article • Aug 25
At €8.74, Is Nexi S.p.A. (BIT:NEXI) Worth Looking At Closely?
Nexi S.p.A. ( BIT:NEXI ) saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the BIT. As a...Analysis Article • Jul 12
Is There An Opportunity With Nexi S.p.A.'s (BIT:NEXI) 31% Undervaluation?
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Nexi S.p.A. ( BIT:NEXI...Analysis Article • Jun 16
Nexi (BIT:NEXI) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • May 26
Should You Think About Buying Nexi S.p.A. (BIT:NEXI) Now?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Nexi S.p.A. ( BIT:NEXI ). The company's stock saw significant...Analysis Article • Mar 18
Is Nexi (BIT:NEXI) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Feb 25
Estimating The Fair Value Of Nexi S.p.A. (BIT:NEXI)
How far off is Nexi S.p.A. ( BIT:NEXI ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data, we'll take a...Analysis Article • Dec 05
These 4 Measures Indicate That Nexi (BIT:NEXI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,849 | 514 | 847 | 1,276 | 12 |
| 12/31/2027 | 3,735 | 459 | 799 | 1,246 | 16 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,650 | 408 | 750 | 1,227 | 16 |
| 12/31/2025 | 6,273 | -3,377 | 806 | 1,226 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,217 | -1,536 | 799 | 1,222 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 6,343 | 305 | 549 | 975 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,318 | 246 | 538 | 975 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 6,109 | 186 | 769 | 1,216 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,087 | -444 | 782 | 1,229 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 6,064 | -1,074 | 795 | 1,242 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5,983 | -1,050 | 616 | 1,072 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 5,901 | -1,027 | 438 | 902 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,758 | -502 | 154 | 646 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 5,615 | 23 | -130 | 390 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 5,473 | 57 | -11 | 512 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,331 | 91 | 108 | 634 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,943 | 83 | 115 | 575 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 4,555 | 74 | 123 | 517 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,776 | 56 | 83 | 420 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,998 | 38 | 42 | 324 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,453 | 91 | 124 | 354 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,908 | 145 | 205 | 384 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,780 | 137 | 124 | 281 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,653 | 129 | 43 | 179 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,593 | 116 | 2 | 155 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,534 | 104 | -38 | 132 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,589 | 70 | -13 | 156 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1,644 | 36 | 13 | 180 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 1,634 | 3 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,290 | 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 947 | 43 | N/A | 81 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,439 | 73 | N/A | 696 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,103 | 57 | N/A | 69 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NEXI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.3%).
Earnings vs Market: NEXI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: NEXI is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: NEXI's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-12.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NEXI's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-12.3% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NEXI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.6%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/25 10:11 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Nexi S.p.A. is covered by 35 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gabriele Venturi | Banca Akros S.p.A. (ESN) |
| Vincenzo Antonio Buono | Banca Akros S.p.A. (ESN) |
| Grégoire Hermann | Barclays |