Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Confinvest F.L's (BIT:CFV) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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BIT:CFV

Readers hoping to buy Confinvest F.L. S.p.A. (BIT:CFV) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Thus, you can purchase Confinvest F.L's shares before the 2nd of December in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 4th of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be €0.04 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed €0.10 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Confinvest F.L has a trailing yield of 6.0% on the current stock price of €1.68. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for Confinvest F.L

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Confinvest F.L paid out a disturbingly high 300% of its profit as dividends last year, which makes us concerned there's something we don't fully understand in the business.

Generally, the higher a company's payout ratio, the more the dividend is at risk of being reduced.

Click here to see how much of its profit Confinvest F.L paid out over the last 12 months.

BIT:CFV Historic Dividend November 28th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Confinvest F.L's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 14% a year over the previous five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, five years ago, Confinvest F.L has lifted its dividend by approximately 11% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Confinvest F.L is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

The Bottom Line

Is Confinvest F.L an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Not only are earnings per share shrinking, but Confinvest F.L is paying out a disconcertingly high percentage of its profit as dividends. Generally we think dividend investors should avoid businesses in this situation, as high payout ratios and declining earnings can lead to the dividend being cut. All things considered, we're not optimistic about its dividend prospects, and would be inclined to leave it on the shelf for now.

Although, if you're still interested in Confinvest F.L and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Confinvest F.L (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.