Alfio Bardolla Training Group S.p.A.

BIT:ABTG Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.8m

Alfio Bardolla Training Group Valuation

Is ABTG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABTG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABTG (€2.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABTG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABTG?

Key metric: As ABTG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABTG. This is calculated by dividing ABTG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABTG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.8x
Earnings€1.31m
Market Cap€12.81m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABTG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABTG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
XHS Xenia Hôtellerie Solution. Società Benefit
8.2xn/a€8.3m
IGV I Grandi Viaggi
17.8xn/a€50.2m
7073 JAICLtd
75.3xn/aJP¥2.1b
1598 China 21st Century Education Group
3.1xn/aHK$125.5m
ABTG Alfio Bardolla Training Group
9.8x36.2%€12.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABTG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABTG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ABTG 9.8xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABTG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABTG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABTG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.8x
Fair PE Ratio16.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABTG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABTG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.48
€7.50
+202.4%
6.7%€8.00€7.00n/a2
Nov ’25€2.62
€7.50
+186.3%
6.7%€8.00€7.00n/a2
Oct ’25€2.90
€7.61
+162.2%
5.3%€8.01€7.20n/a2
Sep ’25€2.65
€7.61
+187.0%
5.3%€8.01€7.20n/a2
Aug ’25€2.46
€7.61
+209.1%
5.3%€8.01€7.20n/a2
Jul ’25€2.56
€7.61
+197.1%
5.3%€8.01€7.20n/a2
Jun ’25€2.66
€7.61
+185.9%
5.3%€8.01€7.20n/a2
May ’25€3.45
€7.61
+120.4%
5.3%€8.01€7.20n/a2
Apr ’25€2.10
€8.21
+290.7%
2.5%€8.41€8.00n/a2
Mar ’25€2.13
€8.21
+285.2%
2.5%€8.41€8.00n/a2
Feb ’25€2.37
€8.21
+246.2%
2.5%€8.41€8.00n/a2
Jan ’25€2.59
€8.21
+216.8%
2.5%€8.41€8.00n/a2
Dec ’24€2.40
€7.96
+231.5%
5.7%€8.41€7.50n/a2
Nov ’24€2.20
€7.96
+261.6%
5.7%€8.41€7.50€2.622
Oct ’24€2.10
€7.93
+277.4%
5.4%€8.35€7.50€2.902
Sep ’24€2.05
€7.93
+286.6%
5.4%€8.35€7.50€2.652
Aug ’24€2.10
€7.93
+277.4%
5.4%€8.35€7.50€2.462
Jul ’24€2.12
€7.93
+273.8%
5.4%€8.35€7.50€2.562
Jun ’24€2.11
€7.93
+275.6%
5.4%€8.35€7.50€2.662
May ’24€2.19
€7.93
+261.9%
5.4%€8.35€7.50€3.452
Apr ’24€2.13
€8.24
+286.6%
0.4%€8.27€8.20€2.102
Mar ’24€2.11
€8.24
+290.3%
0.4%€8.27€8.20€2.132
Feb ’24€2.18
€8.24
+277.8%
0.4%€8.27€8.20€2.372
Jan ’24€2.08
€8.24
+295.9%
0.4%€8.27€8.20€2.592
Dec ’23€2.05
€8.24
+301.7%
0.4%€8.27€8.20€2.402
Nov ’23€2.26
€8.24
+264.4%
0.4%€8.27€8.20€2.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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