Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

BIT:1HLT Stock Report

Market Cap: €51.1b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is 1HLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1HLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€208.76
Fair Value
2.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
26
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1HLT (€213.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€208.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1HLT is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1HLT?

Key metric: As 1HLT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1HLT. This is calculated by dividing 1HLT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1HLT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.5x
EarningsUS$1.54b
Market CapUS$55.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1HLT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1HLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.3x
LTMC Lottomatica Group
45.1x31.9%€4.5b
MAR Marriott International
28.2x10.7%US$65.5b
ABNB Airbnb
30.5x13.2%US$80.0b
AMS Amadeus IT Group
25.5x10.9%€32.0b
1HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
36.5x12.9%€55.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1HLT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1HLT 36.5xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies21PE01632486480+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1HLT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1HLT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.5x
Fair PE Ratio27.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1HLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€213.50
€244.46
+14.5%
9.8%€288.91€208.35n/a26
Mar ’26€252.30
€252.83
+0.2%
9.1%€296.68€213.95n/a27
Feb ’26€247.70
€235.28
-5.0%
10.5%€285.55€187.04n/a27
Jan ’26€237.30
€233.49
-1.6%
11.6%€285.73€178.58n/a26
Dec ’25€240.40
€224.06
-6.8%
10.1%€260.27€175.73n/a26
Nov ’25€219.00
€214.48
-2.1%
10.0%€252.30€170.35n/a26
Oct ’25€206.30
€195.56
-5.2%
9.0%€228.57€161.98n/a26
Sep ’25€197.10
€196.83
-0.1%
8.3%€229.34€162.52n/a25
Aug ’25€194.05
€202.39
+4.3%
8.1%€234.09€167.73n/a25
Jul ’25€199.25
€201.94
+1.4%
8.3%€237.82€170.41n/a25
Jun ’25€181.65
€197.97
+9.0%
8.3%€233.60€167.39n/a24
May ’25€186.00
€199.00
+7.0%
8.4%€236.78€169.66n/a23
Apr ’25€197.90
€192.94
-2.5%
8.1%€226.04€162.38n/a24
Mar ’25€188.35
€185.00
-1.8%
8.6%€219.27€141.56€252.3023
Feb ’25€175.65
€166.09
-5.4%
9.7%€198.29€133.73€247.7023
Jan ’25€164.30
€156.22
-4.9%
7.5%€172.91€131.27€237.3023
Dec ’24€157.10
€153.81
-2.1%
6.9%€174.31€132.33€240.4022
Nov ’24€142.65
€158.07
+10.8%
7.0%€179.90€136.58€219.0022
Oct ’24€142.10
€152.95
+7.6%
5.9%€170.42€135.78€206.3021
Sep ’24€139.65
€148.99
+6.7%
6.2%€166.82€132.91€197.1022
Aug ’24€141.00
€147.63
+4.7%
6.3%€165.71€132.02€194.0522
Jul ’24€133.35
€141.66
+6.2%
5.0%€155.07€129.53€199.2520
Jun ’24€128.00
€144.32
+12.7%
5.1%€157.83€131.83€181.6520
May ’24€130.40
€141.19
+8.3%
5.5%€154.96€129.43€186.0019
Apr ’24€129.48
€140.38
+8.4%
5.9%€155.87€125.62€197.9020
Mar ’24€135.42
€143.84
+6.2%
6.4%€161.14€122.28€188.3520
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 26 Analysts
€242.36
Fair Value
11.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
26
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/24 02:41
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/24 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is covered by 45 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Michael BellisarioBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research