Orsero Valuation

Is ORS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORS (€12.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORS?

Key metric: As ORS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORS. This is calculated by dividing ORS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.2x
Earnings€25.72m
Market Cap€210.61m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
MARR MARR
14.9x9.6%€633.7m
9305 Yamatane
17.9xn/aJP¥35.1b
8142 Toho
7.3xn/aJP¥29.5b
3139 Lacto Japan
8.8x4.9%JP¥27.6b
ORS Orsero
8.2x3.4%€210.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ORS 8.2xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.2x
Fair PE Ratio12.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ORS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.50
€23.50
+88.0%
10.8%€26.00€20.00n/a3
Nov ’25€11.90
€23.33
+96.1%
10.7%€26.00€20.00n/a3
Oct ’25€12.76
€23.33
+82.9%
10.7%€26.00€20.00n/a3
Sep ’25€12.90
€24.67
+91.2%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Aug ’25€12.32
€24.67
+100.2%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Jul ’25€12.60
€24.67
+95.8%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Jun ’25€13.00
€24.67
+89.7%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
May ’25€14.64
€24.67
+68.5%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Apr ’25€14.32
€24.67
+72.3%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Mar ’25€15.04
€24.67
+64.0%
1.9%€25.00€24.00n/a3
Feb ’25€17.46
€25.63
+46.8%
3.7%€27.00€24.50n/a4
Jan ’25€16.96
€25.63
+51.1%
3.7%€27.00€24.50n/a4
Dec ’24€16.96
€25.63
+51.1%
3.7%€27.00€24.50n/a4
Nov ’24€15.00
€22.25
+48.3%
8.8%€24.00€19.00€11.904
Oct ’24€14.32
€22.25
+55.4%
8.8%€24.00€19.00€12.764
Sep ’24€13.16
€21.03
+59.8%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€12.904
Aug ’24€12.70
€21.03
+65.6%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€12.324
Jul ’24€12.62
€21.03
+66.6%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€12.604
Jun ’24€12.82
€21.03
+64.0%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€13.004
May ’24€12.70
€20.65
+62.6%
5.9%€22.00€19.00€14.644
Apr ’24€13.42
€20.65
+53.9%
5.9%€22.00€19.00€14.324
Mar ’24€14.70
€21.28
+44.7%
2.0%€22.00€20.90€15.044
Feb ’24€15.30
€21.10
+37.9%
2.6%€22.00€20.50€17.464
Jan ’24€13.32
€20.60
+54.7%
1.9%€21.00€20.00€16.964
Dec ’23€14.00
€20.60
+47.1%
1.9%€21.00€20.00€16.964
Nov ’23€14.46
€20.60
+42.5%
1.9%€21.00€20.00€15.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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