The Italian Sea Group S.p.A.

BIT:TISG Stock Report

Market Cap: €508.8m

Italian Sea Group Valuation

Is TISG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TISG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TISG (€9.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TISG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TISG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TISG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.1x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TISG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TISG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
SL Sanlorenzo
15.4x8.2%€1.4b
TGYM Technogym
24x10.7%€1.8b
RFG Racing Force
21.4x14.1%€102.8m
IDB Italian Design Brands
10.1x-4.2%€283.0m
TISG Italian Sea Group
13.8x14.7%€508.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TISG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TISG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TISG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TISG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TISG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TISG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TISG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.60
€12.47
+29.9%
0.4%€12.50€12.40n/a3
Apr ’25€10.06
€12.47
+23.9%
0.4%€12.50€12.40n/a3
Mar ’25€10.04
€12.30
+22.5%
1.8%€12.50€12.00n/a3
Feb ’25€9.74
€11.83
+21.5%
5.3%€12.50€11.00n/a3
Jan ’25€8.23
€11.50
+39.7%
6.1%€12.50€11.00n/a3
Dec ’24€7.90
€11.50
+45.6%
6.1%€12.50€11.00n/a3
Nov ’24€6.98
€11.67
+67.1%
5.3%€12.50€11.00n/a3
Oct ’24€7.37
€11.67
+58.3%
5.3%€12.50€11.00n/a3
Sep ’24€7.53
€11.47
+52.3%
7.5%€12.50€10.40n/a3
Aug ’24€7.50
€11.30
+50.7%
5.9%€12.00€10.40n/a3
Jul ’24€7.84
€11.30
+44.1%
5.9%€12.00€10.40n/a3
Jun ’24€8.35
€11.30
+35.3%
5.9%€12.00€10.40n/a3
May ’24€8.65
€11.13
+28.7%
5.9%€12.00€10.40€9.603
Apr ’24€8.24
€11.13
+35.1%
5.9%€12.00€10.40€10.063
Mar ’24€7.35
€10.67
+45.1%
11.7%€12.00€9.00€10.043
Feb ’24€6.73
€10.67
+58.5%
11.7%€12.00€9.00€9.743
Jan ’24€5.67
€9.50
+67.5%
11.4%€11.00€8.50€8.233
Dec ’23€5.74
€9.50
+65.5%
11.4%€11.00€8.50€7.903
Nov ’23€4.80
€10.03
+109.0%
4.5%€10.60€9.50€6.983
Oct ’23€4.47
€10.03
+124.7%
4.5%€10.60€9.50€7.373
Sep ’23€4.80
€9.77
+103.5%
5.7%€10.30€9.00€7.533
Aug ’23€5.05
€9.77
+93.4%
5.7%€10.30€9.00€7.503
Jul ’23€4.80
€9.97
+107.9%
7.8%€10.90€9.00€7.843
Jun ’23€5.63
€9.97
+77.0%
7.8%€10.90€9.00€8.353
May ’23€5.50
€9.97
+81.2%
7.8%€10.90€9.00€8.653

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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