Mattel, Inc.

BIT:1MAT Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.7b

Mattel Valuation

Is 1MAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 1MAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: 1MAT (€18.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€41.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1MAT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1MAT?

Key metric: As 1MAT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1MAT. This is calculated by dividing 1MAT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1MAT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.4x
EarningsUS$432.25m
Market CapUS$6.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1MAT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1MAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.8x
TGYM Technogym
35.3x14.44%€3.4b
SL Sanlorenzo
10.6x2.17%€1.1b
TISG Italian Sea Group
19.3x26.81%€246.7m
RFG Racing Force
29.9x16.07%€139.1m
1MAT Mattel
15.4x7.62%€6.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1MAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (23.8x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1MAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1MAT 15.4xIndustry Avg. 22.8xNo. of Companies3PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1MAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (22.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1MAT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1MAT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1MAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1MAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.51
€20.63
+11.46%
11.54%€25.78€17.19n/a12
Jan ’27€16.96
€20.33
+19.89%
10.86%€24.65€17.00n/a12
Dec ’26€18.29
€20.64
+12.87%
10.86%€25.02€17.26n/a12
Nov ’26€15.88
€20.52
+29.25%
10.86%€24.88€17.16n/a12
Oct ’26€14.53
€20.99
+44.54%
11.86%€25.53€17.87n/a12
Sep ’26€15.17
€21.32
+40.60%
11.13%€25.76€18.03n/a12
Aug ’26€14.69
€21.50
+46.38%
11.13%€25.97€18.18n/a12
Jul ’26€17.21
€20.20
+17.41%
16.26%€25.47€14.43n/a13
Jun ’26€16.76
€20.80
+24.11%
16.92%€26.47€15.00n/a13
May ’26€13.91
€20.84
+49.80%
17.43%€26.26€14.00n/a13
Apr ’26€18.09
€24.66
+36.35%
9.88%€28.93€20.25n/a13
Mar ’26€20.34
€24.66
+21.24%
9.88%€28.93€20.25n/a13
Feb ’26€18.16
€23.12
+27.31%
10.37%€26.88€19.20n/a13
Jan ’26€17.05
€23.11
+35.53%
9.62%€26.87€19.19€16.9614
Dec ’25€18.00
€22.16
+23.12%
9.61%€25.89€18.50€18.2914
Nov ’25€18.41
€22.16
+20.41%
9.61%€25.89€18.50€15.8814
Oct ’25€17.24
€21.44
+24.35%
9.94%€24.39€18.07€14.5313
Sep ’25€17.20
€21.66
+25.97%
11.21%€24.87€16.81€15.1713
Aug ’25€17.85
€21.66
+21.39%
11.21%€24.87€16.81€14.6913
Jul ’25€15.08
€21.87
+45.07%
10.12%€25.10€18.59€17.2114
Jun ’25€16.36
€21.87
+33.68%
10.12%€25.10€18.59€16.7614
May ’25€17.15
€21.99
+28.21%
9.96%€25.17€18.64€13.9114
Apr ’25€18.27
€21.43
+17.32%
9.33%€24.01€18.47€18.0915
Mar ’25€18.06
€21.31
+18.00%
10.09%€24.14€17.64€20.3414
Feb ’25€16.56
€20.92
+26.34%
10.50%€23.89€17.46€18.1613
Jan ’25€17.27
€22.01
+27.46%
8.76%€24.08€17.60€17.0513
€20.68
Fair Value
10.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/12 16:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/12 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mattel, Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Felicia Kantor HendrixBarclays
Alok PatelBerenberg