Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Tinexta S.p.A. (BIT:TNXT) Even After Diving 28%

BIT:TNXT
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Tinexta S.p.A. (BIT:TNXT) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 33% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Italy have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may still consider Tinexta as a stock to avoid entirely with its 26.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Tinexta hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Tinexta

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BIT:TNXT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tinexta.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Tinexta's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 26%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 36% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 39% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Tinexta is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Tinexta's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Tinexta's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Tinexta that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tinexta, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tinexta might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.