F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A.

BIT:FILA Stock Report

Market Cap: €444.9m

F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini Valuation

Is FILA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FILA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FILA (€8.77) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€6.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FILA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FILA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FILA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.8x
PEG Ratio-0.05x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FILA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FILA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
SEB Sebino
14.6xn/a€96.8m
GTH Greenthesis
22.3x8.4%€334.5m
ABP Azienda Bresciana Petroli Nocivelli
12.3xn/a€136.4m
TNXT Tinexta
29.9x28.1%€818.4m
FILA F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini
2.6x-55.0%€444.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FILA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.6x) compared to the peer average (21.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FILA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FILA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.6x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FILA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FILA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.6x
Fair PE Ratio6.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FILA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FILA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.77
€11.32
+29.1%
15.2%€13.70€8.80n/a5
Apr ’25€7.96
€11.48
+44.2%
17.0%€14.50€8.80n/a5
Mar ’25€8.62
€12.50
+45.0%
9.5%€14.50€11.40n/a4
Feb ’25€8.61
€12.50
+45.2%
9.5%€14.50€11.40n/a4
Jan ’25€8.78
€11.18
+27.3%
5.5%€12.00€10.30n/a4
Dec ’24€8.20
€10.65
+29.9%
2.3%€11.00€10.30n/a4
Nov ’24€7.14
€10.48
+46.8%
2.8%€10.80€10.00n/a5
Oct ’24€7.49
€10.48
+39.9%
2.8%€10.80€10.00n/a5
Sep ’24€8.33
€10.48
+25.8%
2.8%€10.80€10.00n/a5
Aug ’24€8.02
€10.30
+28.4%
1.9%€10.60€10.00n/a5
Jul ’24€7.86
€10.30
+31.0%
1.9%€10.60€10.00n/a5
Jun ’24€7.91
€10.30
+30.2%
1.9%€10.60€10.00n/a5
May ’24€7.50
€9.92
+32.3%
4.9%€10.40€9.00€8.815
Apr ’24€6.93
€10.16
+46.6%
8.2%€11.60€9.00€7.965
Mar ’24€7.45
€11.22
+50.6%
12.0%€13.20€9.00€8.625
Feb ’24€7.11
€11.22
+57.8%
12.0%€13.20€9.00€8.615
Jan ’24€6.96
€11.22
+61.2%
12.0%€13.20€9.00€8.785
Dec ’23€7.00
€11.22
+60.3%
12.0%€13.20€9.00€8.205
Nov ’23€7.20
€12.90
+79.2%
4.9%€14.00€12.30€7.145
Oct ’23€7.02
€12.90
+83.8%
4.9%€14.00€12.30€7.495
Sep ’23€7.59
€12.90
+70.0%
4.9%€14.00€12.30€8.335
Aug ’23€8.10
€13.42
+65.7%
6.6%€14.60€12.30€8.025
Jul ’23€8.20
€13.42
+63.7%
6.6%€14.60€12.30€7.865
Jun ’23€9.44
€13.42
+42.2%
6.6%€14.60€12.30€7.915
May ’23€9.53
€14.16
+48.6%
11.1%€17.00€12.70€7.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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