Ariston Holding Valuation

Is ARIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ARIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€3.73
Fair Value
14.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ARIS (€4.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ARIS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARIS?

Key metric: As ARIS is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ARIS. This is calculated by dividing ARIS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ARIS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
Sales€2.68b
Market Cap€1.48b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ARIS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ARIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
CRL Carel Industries
3.5x8.3%€2.1b
LUVE LU-VE
1.1x5.5%€654.0m
SOM Somec
0.2x5.2%€75.9m
FIRE BIFIRE
1.4x13.9%€47.5m
ARIS Ariston Holding
0.6x2.4%€1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ARIS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ARIS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ARIS 0.6xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies15PS00.61.21.82.43+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ARIS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Building industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ARIS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ARIS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ARIS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ARIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.28
€4.61
+7.6%
11.5%€5.40€3.40n/a9
Mar ’26€3.69
€4.48
+21.4%
15.5%€5.80€3.40n/a9
Feb ’26€3.45
€4.54
+31.4%
18.2%€5.80€3.40n/a8
Jan ’26€3.45
€4.60
+33.3%
16.4%€5.80€3.50n/a9
Dec ’25€3.69
€4.73
+28.3%
14.9%€5.80€3.50n/a9
Nov ’25€3.87
€4.82
+24.6%
12.8%€5.80€3.70n/a9
Oct ’25€4.34
€5.17
+19.0%
18.7%€7.00€3.70n/a9
Sep ’25€4.17
€5.40
+29.5%
21.6%€7.00€3.80n/a10
Aug ’25€3.76
€5.57
+48.1%
18.6%€7.00€4.00n/a10
Jul ’25€3.76
€6.30
+67.7%
13.5%€8.00€5.00n/a10
Jun ’25€4.66
€6.67
+43.1%
14.0%€8.40€5.40n/a10
May ’25€4.84
€6.95
+43.7%
12.9%€8.40€5.60n/a10
Apr ’25€5.21
€7.39
+42.0%
13.0%€9.00€5.70n/a10
Mar ’25€5.50
€7.94
+44.5%
11.7%€9.00€6.50€3.6910
Feb ’25€6.02
€8.15
+35.5%
12.2%€9.40€6.50€3.4510
Jan ’25€6.27
€8.43
+34.6%
19.1%€12.00€6.50€3.459
Dec ’24€5.73
€8.79
+53.5%
22.8%€12.20€6.50€3.699
Nov ’24€5.30
€9.37
+76.9%
23.9%€12.20€6.50€3.879
Oct ’24€6.17
€10.24
+66.2%
15.5%€12.20€7.70€4.349
Sep ’24€7.10
€11.36
+59.9%
12.0%€14.00€9.50€4.179
Aug ’24€8.53
€12.06
+41.3%
10.4%€14.00€10.20€3.769
Jul ’24€9.68
€12.16
+25.6%
10.1%€14.00€10.20€3.769
Jun ’24€10.34
€12.16
+17.6%
10.1%€14.00€10.20€4.669
May ’24€10.34
€11.92
+15.3%
10.5%€14.00€10.00€4.849
Apr ’24€10.15
€11.69
+15.1%
11.3%€14.00€10.00€5.218
Mar ’24€9.04
€11.16
+23.4%
10.3%€13.00€9.80€5.507
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
€4.61
Fair Value
7.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/13 11:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/13 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ariston Holding N.V. is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matteo CuconatoBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Paola SagliettiBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
James WinchesterBarclays