Piaggio & C Valuation

Is PIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PIA (€2.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PIA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PIA?

Key metric: As PIA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PIA. This is calculated by dividing PIA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PIA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11x
Earnings€67.55m
Market Cap€745.25m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
IMS Immsi
24.1xn/a€168.4m
CIR CIR. - Compagnie Industriali Riunite
36.8x-4.7%€599.4m
SGF Sogefi
3.3x-49.1%€238.7m
BRE Brembo
10.4x13.2%€2.8b
PIA Piaggio & C
11x11.7%€745.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PIA 11.0xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.10
€3.01
+43.3%
28.6%€5.00€2.10n/a7
Nov ’25€2.18
€3.12
+43.2%
26.2%€5.00€2.20n/a7
Oct ’25€2.56
€3.42
+33.5%
20.0%€5.00€2.80n/a7
Sep ’25€2.69
€3.42
+27.2%
20.0%€5.00€2.80n/a7
Aug ’25€2.55
€3.48
+36.5%
19.1%€5.00€2.80n/a7
Jul ’25€2.81
€3.81
+35.8%
15.1%€5.00€3.00n/a7
Jun ’25€2.84
€3.81
+34.5%
15.1%€5.00€3.00n/a7
May ’25€2.74
€3.84
+40.0%
14.9%€5.00€3.00n/a7
Apr ’25€2.93
€3.87
+32.0%
15.0%€5.00€3.00n/a7
Mar ’25€3.14
€3.83
+21.9%
15.3%€5.00€3.00n/a7
Feb ’25€3.05
€3.83
+25.4%
15.3%€5.00€3.00n/a7
Jan ’25€2.98
€3.83
+28.6%
15.3%€5.00€3.00n/a7
Dec ’24€2.71
€3.83
+41.3%
15.3%€5.00€3.00n/a7
Nov ’24€2.56
€3.83
+49.8%
15.3%€5.00€3.00€2.187
Oct ’24€3.03
€4.62
+52.7%
17.3%€5.50€3.00€2.567
Sep ’24€3.55
€4.62
+30.3%
17.3%€5.50€3.00€2.697
Aug ’24€3.57
€4.62
+29.4%
17.3%€5.50€3.00€2.557
Jul ’24€3.80
€4.62
+21.6%
17.3%€5.50€3.00€2.817
Jun ’24€3.57
€4.62
+29.5%
17.3%€5.50€3.00€2.847
May ’24€3.73
€4.57
+22.6%
17.2%€5.50€3.00€2.747
Apr ’24€3.93
€4.44
+13.0%
17.6%€5.50€3.00€2.937
Mar ’24€4.06
€4.06
+0.007%
18.3%€5.50€3.00€3.147
Feb ’24€3.54
€3.89
+10.0%
12.4%€4.40€3.00€3.057
Jan ’24€2.80
€3.23
+15.1%
7.0%€3.50€2.90€2.987
Dec ’23€2.90
€3.23
+11.5%
7.0%€3.50€2.90€2.717
Nov ’23€2.62
€3.23
+23.4%
7.0%€3.50€2.90€2.567

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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