Forvia Valuation

Is 1FRVIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1FRVIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1FRVIA (€8.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€62.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1FRVIA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1FRVIA?

Key metric: As 1FRVIA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1FRVIA. This is calculated by dividing 1FRVIA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1FRVIA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.7x
Earnings€222.40m
Market Cap€1.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1FRVIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1FRVIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
BRE Brembo
10.5x13.2%€2.8b
CIR CIR. - Compagnie Industriali Riunite
36.4x-4.7%€592.3m
SGF Sogefi
3.3x-49.1%€235.8m
PIRC Pirelli & C
11.9x12.4%€5.1b
1FRVIA Forvia
7.7x47.4%€1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1FRVIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1FRVIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1FRVIA 7.7xIndustry Avg. 9.5xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1FRVIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1FRVIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1FRVIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.7x
Fair PE Ratio26.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1FRVIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1FRVIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.69
€15.19
+74.7%
43.8%€39.00€10.00n/a15
Nov ’25€8.60
€15.32
+78.1%
43.2%€39.00€10.00n/a15
Oct ’25€9.05
€17.39
+92.1%
39.6%€39.00€10.00n/a16
Sep ’25€9.28
€19.20
+106.8%
32.4%€39.00€12.00n/a16
Aug ’25€10.32
€19.14
+85.4%
32.4%€39.00€12.00n/a16
Jul ’25€11.41
€20.83
+82.5%
27.2%€39.00€12.00n/a16
Jun ’25€15.14
€21.83
+44.2%
23.5%€39.00€15.00n/a16
May ’25€14.84
€21.83
+47.1%
23.5%€39.00€15.00n/a16
Apr ’25€14.03
€22.69
+61.7%
22.9%€39.00€16.00n/a16
Mar ’25€13.64
€25.25
+85.2%
30.8%€49.00€18.00n/a16
Feb ’25€15.69
€27.00
+72.1%
27.7%€48.00€18.00n/a16
Jan ’25€20.66
€27.94
+35.2%
26.0%€48.00€18.00n/a16
Dec ’24€18.20
€28.06
+54.2%
25.3%€48.00€18.00n/a16
Nov ’24€16.30
€27.59
+69.3%
25.9%€48.00€18.00€8.6017
Oct ’24€19.88
€28.76
+44.7%
22.2%€47.00€20.00€9.0517
Sep ’24€19.48
€28.82
+48.0%
22.0%€47.00€20.00€9.2817
Aug ’24€22.97
€28.76
+25.2%
22.6%€47.00€18.00€10.3217
Jul ’24€21.74
€27.03
+24.3%
22.7%€45.00€18.00€11.4117
Jun ’24€19.89
€27.09
+36.2%
22.6%€45.00€18.00€15.1417
May ’24€18.70
€26.66
+42.6%
25.6%€45.00€16.00€14.8416
Apr ’24€19.95
€26.13
+31.0%
27.7%€45.00€15.00€14.0316
Mar ’24€21.38
€24.82
+16.1%
27.3%€45.00€15.00€13.6417
Feb ’24€18.27
€22.41
+22.7%
26.6%€41.00€15.00€15.6917
Jan ’24€14.16
€21.56
+52.3%
29.4%€41.00€12.00€20.6618
Dec ’23€15.58
€22.17
+42.3%
31.4%€41.00€12.00€18.2018
Nov ’23€15.49
€22.58
+45.8%
36.2%€48.50€12.00€16.3018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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