Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying VA Tech Wabag Limited (NSE:WABAG)?

NSEI:WABAG
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VA Tech Wabag Limited (NSE:WABAG), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NSEI over the last few months. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s examine VA Tech Wabag’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for VA Tech Wabag

What Is VA Tech Wabag Worth?

VA Tech Wabag appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that VA Tech Wabag’s ratio of 71.7x is above its peer average of 14.07x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Water Utilities industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that VA Tech Wabag’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from VA Tech Wabag?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:WABAG Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. In VA Tech Wabag's case, its earnings over the next year are expected to double, indicating an incredibly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? WABAG’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe WABAG should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on WABAG for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for WABAG, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing VA Tech Wabag at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of VA Tech Wabag.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.