Stock Analysis

Here's Why Tata Power (NSE:TATAPOWER) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:TATAPOWER
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that The Tata Power Company Limited (NSE:TATAPOWER) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is Tata Power's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Tata Power had ₹481.7b of debt, up from ₹431.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹70.3b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹411.4b.

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NSEI:TATAPOWER Debt to Equity History July 8th 2022

How Strong Is Tata Power's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tata Power had liabilities of ₹387.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹474.9b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹70.3b and ₹87.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹704.9b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹685.4b, we think shareholders really should watch Tata Power's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Tata Power shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.4 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The good news is that Tata Power improved its EBIT by 5.4% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tata Power's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Tata Power recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Both Tata Power's interest cover and its net debt to EBITDA were discouraging. But on the brighter side of life, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow leaves us feeling more frolicsome. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Tata Power commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Tata Power is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Tata Power has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.