Stock Analysis

Slammed 29% GVK Power & Infrastructure Limited (NSE:GVKPIL) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

NSEI:GVKPIL
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The GVK Power & Infrastructure Limited (NSE:GVKPIL) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 223%.

Even after such a large drop in price, GVK Power & Infrastructure may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Renewable Energy industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 3.5x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for GVK Power & Infrastructure

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GVKPIL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 23rd 2024

How GVK Power & Infrastructure Has Been Performing

For example, consider that GVK Power & Infrastructure's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on GVK Power & Infrastructure will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for GVK Power & Infrastructure, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For GVK Power & Infrastructure?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like GVK Power & Infrastructure's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 49%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 248% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it odd that GVK Power & Infrastructure is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, GVK Power & Infrastructure's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of GVK Power & Infrastructure revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for GVK Power & Infrastructure (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GVK Power & Infrastructure, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.