Stock Analysis

Gujarat Gas Limited (NSE:GUJGASLTD) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

NSEI:GUJGASLTD
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It's not a stretch to say that Gujarat Gas Limited's (NSE:GUJGASLTD) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 32x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Gujarat Gas' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

View our latest analysis for Gujarat Gas

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GUJGASLTD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 6th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Gujarat Gas.

Is There Some Growth For Gujarat Gas?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Gujarat Gas' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 6.2% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 25% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 24% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Gujarat Gas is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Gujarat Gas' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Gujarat Gas has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gujarat Gas, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Gujarat Gas is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.