VRL Logistics Limited

NSEI:VRLLOG Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹47.9b

VRL Logistics Valuation

Is VRLLOG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VRLLOG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VRLLOG (₹548.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₹1168.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VRLLOG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VRLLOG?

Key metric: As VRLLOG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VRLLOG. This is calculated by dividing VRLLOG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VRLLOG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio56.8x
Earnings₹844.48m
Market Cap₹47.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VRLLOG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VRLLOG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
542383 Ritco Logistics
31.2xn/a₹11.5b
AVG AVG Logistics
14.6xn/a₹5.6b
534615 North Eastern Carrying
30.3xn/a₹3.6b
PRLIND Premier Roadlines
20.8xn/a₹2.8b
VRLLOG VRL Logistics
56.8x31.9%₹47.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VRLLOG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (56.8x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VRLLOG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Transportation Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
512277 Autoriders International
1.2xn/aUS$1.10m
No more companies available in this PE range
VRLLOG 56.8xIndustry Avg. 26.0xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VRLLOG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (56.8x) compared to the Indian Transportation industry average (26x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VRLLOG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VRLLOG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio56.8x
Fair PE Ratio37x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VRLLOG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (56.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VRLLOG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹548.05
₹635.50
+16.0%
8.9%₹748.00₹551.00n/a8
Dec ’25₹542.75
₹635.50
+17.1%
8.9%₹748.00₹551.00n/a8
Nov ’25₹563.15
₹627.63
+11.4%
13.6%₹765.00₹496.00n/a8
Oct ’25₹564.45
₹632.63
+12.1%
14.2%₹765.00₹496.00n/a8
Sep ’25₹529.45
₹649.56
+22.7%
15.0%₹785.00₹496.00n/a9
Aug ’25₹575.20
₹675.89
+17.5%
15.1%₹785.00₹482.00n/a9
Jul ’25₹569.05
₹679.78
+19.5%
15.5%₹800.00₹482.00n/a9
Jun ’25₹550.50
₹692.56
+25.8%
12.3%₹800.00₹543.00n/a9
May ’25₹558.85
₹704.78
+26.1%
10.8%₹800.00₹580.00n/a9
Apr ’25₹560.50
₹723.67
+29.1%
12.6%₹850.00₹580.00n/a9
Mar ’25₹554.70
₹735.33
+32.6%
11.5%₹850.00₹580.00n/a9
Feb ’25₹741.45
₹806.00
+8.7%
7.3%₹890.00₹695.00n/a9
Jan ’25₹760.00
₹805.44
+6.0%
7.4%₹910.00₹695.00n/a9
Dec ’24₹719.50
₹791.00
+9.9%
5.9%₹850.00₹695.00₹542.759
Nov ’24₹667.15
₹809.50
+21.3%
6.5%₹900.00₹695.00₹563.158
Oct ’24₹721.00
₹809.50
+12.3%
6.5%₹900.00₹695.00₹564.458
Sep ’24₹679.45
₹808.00
+18.9%
6.9%₹900.00₹695.00₹529.457
Aug ’24₹733.90
₹812.50
+10.7%
7.7%₹900.00₹695.00₹575.206
Jul ’24₹713.05
₹810.83
+13.7%
7.6%₹900.00₹695.00₹569.056
Jun ’24₹743.15
₹781.67
+5.2%
10.8%₹900.00₹650.00₹550.506
May ’24₹630.45
₹708.33
+12.4%
7.1%₹775.00₹640.00₹558.856
Apr ’24₹632.60
₹717.50
+13.4%
5.8%₹775.00₹650.00₹560.506
Mar ’24₹563.90
₹712.50
+26.4%
6.3%₹775.00₹650.00₹554.706
Feb ’24₹525.05
₹706.67
+34.6%
6.9%₹775.00₹650.00₹741.456
Jan ’24₹541.50
₹725.00
+33.9%
5.5%₹775.00₹660.00₹760.006
Dec ’23₹568.70
₹725.00
+27.5%
5.5%₹775.00₹660.00₹719.506

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 22:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

VRL Logistics Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mukesh SarafAvendus Spark
Ankit PanchmatiaBatlivala & Karani Securities India Pvt. Ltd.
Bertram LaiCGS International