Stock Analysis

Gujarat Pipavav Port (NSE:GPPL) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

NSEI:GPPL
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Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited's (NSE:GPPL) dividend is being reduced to ₹2.40 on the 12th of September. The yield is still above the industry average at 4.1%.

View our latest analysis for Gujarat Pipavav Port

Gujarat Pipavav Port's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Gujarat Pipavav Port's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 27.9% over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continues, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 88% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
NSEI:GPPL Historic Dividend August 4th 2021

Gujarat Pipavav Port's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. The first annual payment during the last 5 years was ₹1.90 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹4.50. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 19% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Although it's important to note that Gujarat Pipavav Port's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Gujarat Pipavav Port that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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