Stock Analysis

Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited's (NSE:GPPL) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

NSEI:GPPL
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Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (NSE:GPPL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 108% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Gujarat Pipavav Port's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 59x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Gujarat Pipavav Port has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Gujarat Pipavav Port

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GPPL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 20th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Gujarat Pipavav Port's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Gujarat Pipavav Port would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 29% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 77% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 13% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 25%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Gujarat Pipavav Port is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Gujarat Pipavav Port's P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Gujarat Pipavav Port's P/E close to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Gujarat Pipavav Port's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Gujarat Pipavav Port that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Gujarat Pipavav Port is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.