Stock Analysis

Blue Dart Express Limited's (NSE:BLUEDART) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

NSEI:BLUEDART
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.3x Blue Dart Express Limited (NSE:BLUEDART) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Blue Dart Express' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Blue Dart Express

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:BLUEDART Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 17th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Blue Dart Express.

Is There Enough Growth For Blue Dart Express?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Blue Dart Express would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 33% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 26% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Blue Dart Express is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Blue Dart Express' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Blue Dart Express that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Blue Dart Express is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.