Stock Analysis

Bharti Airtel (NSE:BHARTIARTL) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:BHARTIARTL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Bharti Airtel Limited (NSE:BHARTIARTL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Bharti Airtel's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Bharti Airtel had ₹1.58t of debt in September 2023, down from ₹1.66t, one year before. However, it also had ₹164.4b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.41t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BHARTIARTL Debt to Equity History November 13th 2023

A Look At Bharti Airtel's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bharti Airtel had liabilities of ₹1.32t falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.07t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹164.4b and ₹55.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹3.17t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Bharti Airtel is worth a massive ₹5.47t, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Bharti Airtel's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.1 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.5 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. We note that Bharti Airtel grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bharti Airtel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Bharti Airtel produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Bharti Airtel was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, interest cover gives us cold feet. Considering this range of data points, we think Bharti Airtel is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Bharti Airtel (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.