Stock Analysis

Wonder Fibromats (NSE:WFL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:WEL
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Wonder Fibromats Limited (NSE:WFL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Wonder Fibromats

What Is Wonder Fibromats's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Wonder Fibromats had ₹167.6m of debt, an increase on ₹131.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹94.7m, its net debt is less, at about ₹72.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:WFL Debt to Equity History December 1st 2020

How Strong Is Wonder Fibromats's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Wonder Fibromats had liabilities of ₹854.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹14.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹94.7m in cash and ₹576.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹197.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Wonder Fibromats has a market capitalization of ₹395.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Given net debt is only 1.3 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Wonder Fibromats's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.5 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Importantly, Wonder Fibromats's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 67% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Wonder Fibromats's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Wonder Fibromats reported free cash flow worth 18% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

To be frank both Wonder Fibromats's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Wonder Fibromats's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - Wonder Fibromats has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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